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Radnicki Valjevo vs Sloboda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Radnicki Valjevo host Sloboda in the Srpska Liga - West. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Sloboda have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Radnicki Valjevo have conceded 0.97 and scored 1.17. Past meetings favor Radnicki Valjevo slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (0.81 - 0.81) back Radnicki Valjevo to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Radnicki Valjevo
15%
Draws
40%
Sloboda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Radnicki Valjevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Radnicki Valjevo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Radnicki Valjevo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Radnicki Valjevo Clean Sheet 20%
Sloboda Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Radnicki Valjevo Sloboda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Srpska Liga - West
Radnicki Valjevo vs Sloboda
3:2
Oct 12, 2025 Srpska Liga - West
Sloboda vs Radnicki Valjevo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Radnicki Valjevo 40 / 100
Sloboda 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Radnicki Valjevo Sloboda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Radnicki Valjevo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Radnicki Valjevo's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sloboda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Radnicki Valjevo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Radnicki Valjevo VS Sloboda
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Radnicki Valjevo

(Home)
10 Oct
Radnicki Valjevo
2 : 0
Vujan Prislonica
03 Oct
Radnicki Valjevo
1 : 0
Real Podunavci
27 Sept
Sloga Pozega
1 : 0
Radnicki Valjevo
23 Sept
Radnicki Valjevo
2 : 0
FK Zlatibor Cajetina
19 Sept
Omladinac Zablace
0 : 0
Radnicki Valjevo
Page 1 of 6

Sloboda

(Away)
10 Oct
FK Zlatibor Cajetina
1 : 0
Sloboda
03 Oct
Sloboda
3 : 2
Omladinac Zablace
27 Sept
FAP
2 : 1
Sloboda
23 Sept
Sloboda
1 : 0
Takovo
19 Sept
OFK Napredak
0 : 2
Sloboda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jedinstvo Putevi 10 7 3 0 17:4 24
2 FAP 10 6 3 1 14:5 21
3 Radnicki Valjevo 10 6 3 1 9:2 21
4 Omladinac Zablace 10 5 3 2 12:7 18
5 Sloboda 10 6 0 4 14:10 18
6 Zeleznicar Lajkovac 10 5 2 3 14:10 17
7 FK Zlatibor Cajetina 10 4 2 4 11:8 14
8 OFK Napredak 10 3 3 4 11:9 12
9 Buducnost Krusik 10 3 3 4 10:9 12
10 FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac 10 3 3 4 9:12 12
11 Vujan Prislonica 10 3 1 6 11:17 10
12 Real Podunavci 10 2 3 5 7:13 9
13 Sloga Pozega 10 2 3 5 4:12 9
14 Takovo 10 2 2 6 7:13 8
15 Djerdap Golubac 10 1 5 4 11:18 8
16 Radevac 10 1 3 6 7:19 6
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