Sport Picks
Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Serbia
Mozzart Bet Super Liga EFBET Stadion, Surdulica 
Match Events
44'
44'
Jovanovic L.
Assist: Pejovic A.
46'
46'
Sub
Johnson Agwom D. In: Robert J.
Out: Johnson Agwom D.
57'
57'
Sub
Kosiah A. In: Jovanovic D.
Out: Kosiah A.
AI Match Summary
The Mozzart Bet Super Liga game between Radnik Surdulica and Novi Pazar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Radnik Surdulica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Novi Pazar haven't matched Radnik Surdulica's recent run of results.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Radnik Surdulica taking it.
- Regular Mozzart Bet Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Radnik Surdulica have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Radnik Surdulica Clean Sheet 18%
Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Radnik Surdulica | Novi Pazar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 13 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar
1:0
Jul 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Novi Pazar vs Radnik Surdulica
0:1
Apr 22, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar
2:0
Dec 21, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Novi Pazar vs Radnik Surdulica
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Radnik Surdulica Compare
Top Goalscorer Jovanovic L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Novi Pazar Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Radnik Surdulica 36 / 100
Novi Pazar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Radnik Surdulica Novi Pazar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Radnik Surdulica scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Novi Pazar let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.
Radnik Surdulica has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Radnik Surdulica VS Novi Pazar
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Radnik Surdulica
(Home) 10 Oct
IMT Novi Beograd
1 : 0 Radnik Surdulica
19 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
4 : 4 Partizan
14 Sept
Zemun
1 : 1 Radnik Surdulica
10 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
0 : 0 Crvena zvezda
05 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
3 : 1 Cukaricki
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
4 : 4 Partizan
10 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
0 : 0 Crvena zvezda
05 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
3 : 1 Cukaricki
23 Aug
Radnik Surdulica
1 : 0 Novi Pazar
15 Aug
Radnik Surdulica
2 : 1 Macva Sabac
Page 1 of 3
Novi Pazar
(Away) 19 Sept
Novi Pazar
2 : 2 Zemun
12 Sept
Cukaricki
1 : 1 Novi Pazar
04 Sept
Novi Pazar
2 : 0 Zeleznicar Pancevo
29 Aug
Novi Pazar
1 : 1 Macva Sabac
23 Aug
Radnik Surdulica
1 : 0 Novi Pazar
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Cukaricki
1 : 1 Novi Pazar
23 Aug
Radnik Surdulica
1 : 0 Novi Pazar
08 Aug
Crvena zvezda
2 : 0 Novi Pazar
26 Jul
Mladost Lucani
0 : 0 Novi Pazar
01 Jul
Macva Sabac
2 : 1 Novi Pazar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crvena zvezda | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 27:3 | 31 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21:10 | 22 |
| 3 | IMT Novi Beograd | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Radnicki 1923 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 5 | Mladost Lucani | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 16 |
| 6 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Radnik Surdulica | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:16 | 14 |
| 8 | Novi Pazar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Cukaricki | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 11 | Macva Sabac | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8:19 | 9 |
| 12 | Partizan | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17:19 | 8 |
| 13 | Radnicki Nis | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:11 | 8 |
| 14 | Zemun | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:19 | 3 |
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group)
