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Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Stadion im. Braci Czachorów, Radom
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Peter Federico
43'
Camara I.
45'
Conrado

AI Match Summary

Gornik Zabrze in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gornik Zabrze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Radomiak Radom
20%
Draws
47%
Gornik Zabrze
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gornik Zabrze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gornik Zabrze lately — more wins on the board than Radomiak Radom.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Radomiak Radom Clean Sheet 19%
Gornik Zabrze Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Radomiak Radom Gornik Zabrze
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze
1:3
May 23, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom
6:2
Nov 28, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze
4:0
Feb 15, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom
3:2
Sep 25, 2024 Polish Cup
Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Radomiak Radom Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gornik Zabrze Compare

Top Goalscorer Peter Federico
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Radomiak Radom 32 / 100
Gornik Zabrze 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Radomiak Radom Gornik Zabrze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gornik Zabrze Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Radomiak Radom scored in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Gornik Zabrze conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Radomiak Radom stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Radomiak Radom VS Gornik Zabrze
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Radomiak Radom

(Home)
02 Oct
Radomiak Radom
7 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
20 Sept
Lech Poznan
5 : 1
Radomiak Radom
14 Sept
Radomiak Radom
0 : 2
Piast Gliwice
05 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 0
Radomiak Radom
01 Sept
Korona Kielce II
0 : 1
Radomiak Radom
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Gornik Zabrze

(Away)
10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Gornik Zabrze
02 Oct
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 2
Odra Opole
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2
Gornik Zabrze
12 Sept
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1
Lech Poznan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 10 8 1 1 19:9 25
2 Lech Poznan 9 7 1 1 21:8 22
3 Legia 10 6 4 0 21:8 22
4 Pogon Szczecin 9 5 3 1 14:6 18
5 Wisla 10 5 2 3 17:14 17
6 Piast Gliwice 10 5 1 4 18:16 16
7 GKS Katowice 9 5 0 4 20:14 15
8 Korona Kielce 10 4 3 3 12:12 15
9 Zaglebie 10 4 3 3 12:13 15
10 Jagiellonia 9 4 0 5 13:16 12
11 Cracovia 10 3 2 5 12:15 11
12 Wisla Plock 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
13 Widzew Lodz 10 1 6 3 14:15 9
14 KS Wieczysta Krakow 9 2 2 5 14:17 8
15 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
17 Slask Wroclaw 10 1 3 6 12:19 6
18 Rakow Czestochowa 10 1 0 9 13:25 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)