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Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Stadion im. Braci Czachorów
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Tapsoba A.
Assist: Balde E.
30'
Viunnyk B.
36'
Blasco J.

AI Match Summary

Radomiak Radom in this Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Radomiak Radom.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Radomiak Radom
17%
Draws
13%
Lechia Gdansk
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Radomiak Radom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Radomiak Radom haven't matched Lechia Gdansk's recent run of results.
  • Radomiak Radom are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Radomiak Radom have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Radomiak Radom Clean Sheet 18%
Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Radomiak Radom Lechia Gdansk
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk
3:1
Nov 3, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk vs Radomiak Radom
1:2
Mar 14, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk vs Radomiak Radom
1:0
Feb 25, 2023 Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk vs Radomiak Radom
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Radomiak Radom Compare

Top Goalscorer Tapsoba A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lechia Gdansk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Radomiak Radom 67 / 100
Lechia Gdansk 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Radomiak Radom Lechia Gdansk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Radomiak Radom's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Lechia Gdansk has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Lechia Gdansk registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Radomiak Radom VS Lechia Gdansk
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan341612662:4560
2Gornik Zabrze341681050:3856
3Jagiellonia341511856:4156
4Rakow Czestochowa341671151:4055
5GKS Katowice341481251:4550
6Legia341213942:3749
7Zaglebie341391245:3848
8Wisla Plock3412101234:3846
9Pogon Szczecin341361547:4945
10Radomiak Radom3411111252:5344
11Korona Kielce3411101340:4043
12Motor Lublin3410131146:5343
13Cracovia349151039:4242
14Widzew Lodz341261641:4142
15Piast Gliwice341181542:4641
16Lechia Gdansk341271562:6538
17Arka Gdynia34991634:6136
18Termalica Bruk-Bet34971843:6534