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Radomlje vs Maribor Prediction & H2H Stats

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Športni park Domžale, Domžale
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Karnicnik Z.
Assist: Jevsenak Z.
34' Event
Jevsenak Z.
Assist: Karnicnik Z.
46'
Sub
Ikenna D. In: Bangura S.
Out: Ikenna D.

AI Match Summary

Maribor in this Prva liga matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maribor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Radomlje
35%
Draws
58%
Maribor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maribor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maribor lately — more wins on the board than Radomlje.
  • Maribor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Radomlje Clean Sheet 11%
Maribor Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Radomlje Maribor
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 3 13
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.19 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Prva liga
Radomlje vs Maribor
0:3
May 3, 2026 Prva liga
Radomlje vs Maribor
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 Prva liga
Maribor vs Radomlje
2:2
Nov 8, 2025 Prva liga
Radomlje vs Maribor
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Prva liga
Maribor vs Radomlje
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Radomlje Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Maribor Compare

Top Goalscorer Karnicnik Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jevsenak Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Radomlje 10 / 100
Maribor 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Radomlje Maribor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maribor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Radomlje found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Maribor conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Radomlje went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Radomlje VS Maribor
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Radomlje

(Home)
20 Sept
Grosuplje
2 : 1
Radomlje
13 Sept
Radomlje
0 : 3
Maribor
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
29 Aug
Radomlje
0 : 0
O. Ljubljana
16 Aug
Radomlje
1 : 3
Aluminij
Page 1 of 6

Maribor

(Away)
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Maribor
2 : 2
Aluminij
13 Sept
Radomlje
0 : 3
Maribor
06 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
Mura
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 10 5 5 0 19:8 20
2 Koper 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Bravo 10 5 3 2 12:10 18
4 O. Ljubljana 10 4 2 4 10:8 14
5 Aluminij 10 3 4 3 16:11 13
6 Nafta 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
7 Celje 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
8 Grosuplje 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
9 Mura 10 2 3 5 10:21 9
10 Radomlje 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)