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Radomsko vs Concordia Elblag

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Pawlowski D.
90' Event
Bojas J.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2020/2021 game between Radomsko and Concordia Elblag finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Concordia Elblag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Radomsko
11%
Draws
9%
Concordia Elblag
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Radomsko

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Radomsko come out ahead of Concordia Elblag on wins alone.
  • Model gives Radomsko a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Radomsko Clean Sheet 20%
Concordia Elblag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Radomsko Concordia Elblag
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 2 4.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 4.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Radomsko vs Concordia Elblag
0:2
Nov 11, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Concordia Elblag vs Radomsko
2:0
May 9, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Concordia Elblag vs Radomsko
0:0
Oct 12, 2019 III Liga - Group I
Radomsko vs Concordia Elblag
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Radomsko Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Concordia Elblag Compare

Top Goalscorer Pawlowski D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bojas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Radomsko 76 / 100
Concordia Elblag 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Radomsko Concordia Elblag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concordia Elblag has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Radomsko found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Concordia Elblag has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Radomsko VS Concordia Elblag
1 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 4.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Radomsko

(Home)
25 Jul
Radomsko
0 : 1
Redziny
18 Jul
Radomsko
5 : 0
Victoria Czestochowa
13 Feb
Warta Sieradz
6 : 0
Radomsko
22 Feb
LKS Lodz II
7 : 3
Radomsko
11 Feb
Skra Czestochowa
2 : 0
Radomsko
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Concordia Elblag

(Away)
18 Jul
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0
Concordia Elblag
11 Jul
Concordia Elblag
5 : 2
GKS Wikielec
08 Feb
Concordia Elblag
1 : 2
Grom Nowy Staw
25 Sept
Concordia Elblag
0 : 2
Zielona Gora
20 Jul
B. Gdynia
1 : 1
Concordia Elblag
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