Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rah Ahan vs Fajr Sepasi

Iran Iran

Division 1 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Majidi S.
33' Event
Majidi S.
36' Event
Safarzadeh A.

AI Match Summary

Rah Ahan host Fajr Sepasi in the Division 1 2017/2018. This has Fajr Sepasi written all over it on paper. Rah Ahan have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Fajr Sepasi's 0.75 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Fajr Sepasi slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 11, 2018, ending 1:7. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 0.93) point toward Fajr Sepasi. Fajr Sepasi in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Rah Ahan
6%
Draws
90%
Fajr Sepasi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fajr Sepasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fajr Sepasi has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Rah Ahan.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Fajr Sepasi.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 1 2017/2018 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Rah Ahan Clean Sheet 24%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rah Ahan Fajr Sepasi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 24 12
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2018 Azadegan League
Rah Ahan vs Fajr Sepasi
1:7
Oct 21, 2017 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Rah Ahan
1:0
Jan 26, 2017 Azadegan League
Rah Ahan vs Fajr Sepasi
1:1
Aug 26, 2016 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Rah Ahan
2:2
Jan 26, 2014 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Rah Ahan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rah Ahan Compare

Top Goalscorer Aminorayayi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Fajr Sepasi Compare

Top Goalscorer Majidi S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Safarzadeh A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rah Ahan 10 / 100
Fajr Sepasi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rah Ahan Fajr Sepasi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rah Ahan scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Fajr Sepasi let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Rah Ahan went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Fajr Sepasi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fajr Sepasi
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Naft Masjed-Soleyman341811546:2565
2Mazandaran34197849:2664
3Khooneh341713439:1764
4Fajr Sepasi34187948:2561
5Baderan Tehran341514554:3259
6Malavan341316539:2655
7Gol Gohar341313847:3552
8Mes Kerman341571237:3352
9Gol Reyhan Alborz341312940:2751
10Mes Rafsanjan341115838:2948
11Shahrdari Mahshahr341181542:4341
12Bargh3410111330:3441
13Aluminium Arak348151129:3439
14Shahrdari Tabriz341081636:4538
15Machine Sazi Tabriz348131327:3237
16Iranjavan34891733:4933
17Saba Qom34192424:9012
18Rah Ahan34242815:7110