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Rahmatgonj MFS vs Chattogram - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bangladesh Bangladesh

Federation Cup Munshiganj Stadium, Munshigonj
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
08:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Federation Cup. Rahmatgonj MFS are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Rahmatgonj MFS at 1.1 goals for, 1.21 against; Chattogram at 0.5 for, 3 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.70 vs 0.82, favoring Rahmatgonj MFS. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Rahmatgonj MFS
35%
Draws
15%
Chattogram
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rahmatgonj MFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rahmatgonj MFS come out ahead of Chattogram on wins alone.
  • Rahmatgonj MFS are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Rahmatgonj MFS have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Rahmatgonj MFS Clean Sheet 20%
Chattogram Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rahmatgonj MFS Chattogram
Matches Played 29 4
Wins 8 0
Draws 12 1
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.1 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.21 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.70 0.82
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rahmatgonj MFS 85 / 100
Chattogram 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rahmatgonj MFS Chattogram

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rahmatgonj MFS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chattogram has conceded goals in 100% of their last 4 outings.

Rahmatgonj MFS scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Rahmatgonj MFS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Chattogram lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rahmatgonj MFS VS Chattogram
1 Goals Scored 0.4
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.4
75% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Rahmatgonj MFS

(Home)
09 Oct
Rahmatgonj MFS
1 : 1
PWD Sports Club
03 Oct
Arambagh
2 : 2
Rahmatgonj MFS
23 Sept
Brothers U.
0 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
18 Sept
Bangladesh Police
1 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
23 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
0 : 0
Bangladesh Police
Page 1 of 6

Chattogram

(Away)
09 Oct
City Club
2 : 1
Chattogram
02 Oct
Chattogram
0 : 3
Bangladesh Police
25 Sept
Abahani Limited Dhaka
1 : 1
Chattogram
18 Sept
Fortis
6 : 0
Chattogram

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abahani Limited Dhaka 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
2 Fakirerpool YMC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Fortis 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Chattogram 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Brothers U. 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Rahmatgonj MFS 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
Promotion - Federation Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bashundara Kings 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Mohammedan 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Bangladesh Police 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 City Club 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 PWD Sports Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Arambagh 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Dhaka Wanderers 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Federation Cup (Play Offs)