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Railway FC vs Mohun Bagan U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

Calcutta Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Marandi U.
45' Event
Singh M.
52' Event
Mandi R.

AI Match Summary

Mohun Bagan U23 in this Calcutta Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mohun Bagan U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Railway FC
30%
Draws
37%
Mohun Bagan U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mohun Bagan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Mohun Bagan U23 have won more games recently than Railway FC.
  • Model gives Mohun Bagan U23 a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Calcutta Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mohun Bagan U23 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Railway FC Clean Sheet 10%
Mohun Bagan U23 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Railway FC Mohun Bagan U23
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Calcutta Premier Division
Railway FC vs Mohun Bagan U23
1:3
Jul 7, 2025 Calcutta Premier Division
Railway FC vs Mohun Bagan U23
0:2
Aug 18, 2017 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohun Bagan U23 vs Railway FC
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Railway FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Marandi U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Mohun Bagan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mandi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Railway FC 18 / 100
Mohun Bagan U23 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Railway FC Mohun Bagan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohun Bagan U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mohun Bagan U23 conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Railway FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Railway FC found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (26 games).

Scoring Trends

Railway FC VS Mohun Bagan U23
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Railway FC

(Home)
01 Sept
Railway FC
5 : 2
Kidderpore SC
29 Aug
Railway FC
1 : 3
Mohun Bagan U23
23 Aug
Bhawanipore
2 : 2
Railway FC
18 Aug
Patha Chakra
2 : 6
Railway FC
10 Aug
BSS Sporting
0 : 2
Railway FC
Page 1 of 6

Mohun Bagan U23

(Away)
19 Sept
Mohun Bagan U23
3 : 2
Mohammedan
14 Sept
United SC
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan U23
10 Sept
Coal India
1 : 5
Mohun Bagan U23
07 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan U23
01 Sept
BSS Sporting
0 : 3
Mohun Bagan U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 11 8 3 0 27:7 27
2 Bhawanipore 11 8 3 0 21:5 27
3 Mohun Bagan U23 11 7 2 2 26:6 23
4 Calcutta Customs 11 5 3 3 24:12 18
5 United Kolkata 11 4 4 3 22:16 16
6 Kalighat Milan Sangha 11 4 2 5 18:13 14
7 Railway FC 11 4 2 5 20:20 14
8 Kidderpore SC 11 2 6 3 15:18 12
9 BSS Sporting 11 3 3 5 17:21 12
10 Patha Chakra 11 3 1 7 12:32 10
11 George Telegrapher 11 2 1 8 7:33 7
12 Bidhannagar Municipal SA 11 0 2 9 5:31 2
Promotion - Calcutta Premier Division (Championship Group)
Relegation - Calcutta Premier Division (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coal India 11 6 4 1 18:7 22
2 Mohammedan 11 6 3 2 18:12 21
3 United SC 11 6 2 3 24:9 20
4 Peerless 11 6 2 3 20:9 20
5 Aryan 11 5 4 2 18:6 19
6 Calcutta Police 11 5 3 3 13:11 18
7 Police AC 11 4 5 2 13:11 17
8 Measures Club 11 3 6 2 21:17 15
9 Suruchi Sangha 11 2 3 6 11:20 9
10 Rainbow SC 11 2 1 8 13:31 7
11 Wari 11 1 4 6 9:28 7
12 Kalighat SL 11 0 3 8 4:21 3
Promotion - Calcutta Premier Division (Championship Group)
Relegation - Calcutta Premier Division (Relegation Group)