Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rain/Lech vs Kottern-St. Mang

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Dusch K.
(Penalty)
65' Event
Miller M.
Own Goal
77' Event
Sodji M.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025 game between Rain/Lech and Kottern-St. Mang finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Rain/Lech
15%
Draws
53%
Kottern-St. Mang
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kottern-St. Mang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kottern-St. Mang come out ahead of Rain/Lech on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kottern-St. Mang's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Rain/Lech Clean Sheet 20%
Kottern-St. Mang Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rain/Lech Kottern-St. Mang
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 6 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Rain/Lech vs Kottern-St. Mang
2:2
Jul 26, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Kottern-St. Mang vs Rain/Lech
2:1
May 11, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Rain/Lech vs Kottern-St. Mang
2:0
Oct 14, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Kottern-St. Mang vs Rain/Lech
0:1
Apr 27, 2019 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Rain/Lech vs Kottern-St. Mang
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rain/Lech Compare

Top Goalscorer Sodji M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Kottern-St. Mang Compare

Top Goalscorer Jocham M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rain/Lech 20 / 100
Kottern-St. Mang 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rain/Lech Kottern-St. Mang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kottern-St. Mang Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rain/Lech scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Kottern-St. Mang let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Rain/Lech remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rain/Lech VS Kottern-St. Mang
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rain/Lech

(Home)
17 May
Rain/Lech
2 : 5
Munich 1860 II
10 May
Ismaning
4 : 5
Rain/Lech
03 May
Rain/Lech
5 : 4
Heimstetten
29 Apr
Rain/Lech
0 : 3
TSV Grunwald
25 Apr
TSV Grunwald
3 : 1
Rain/Lech
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Kottern-St. Mang

(Away)
25 Sept
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
1 : 3
Kottern-St. Mang
19 Sept
Kottern-St. Mang
1 : 0
Ismaning
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0
Kottern-St. Mang
05 Sept
Kottern-St. Mang
2 : 1
Kirchanschoring
29 Aug
Gundelfingen
1 : 1
Kottern-St. Mang
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Memmingen 32 17 12 3 49:21 63
2 Munich 1860 II 32 18 8 6 64:30 62
3 SV Erlbach 32 16 10 6 33:21 58
4 Pipinsried 32 18 4 10 63:39 58
5 Deisenhofen 32 17 5 10 56:45 56
6 Kottern-St. Mang 32 16 6 10 57:50 54
7 Kirchanschoring 32 15 7 10 57:46 52
8 Landsberg 32 14 2 16 64:41 44
9 Schalding 32 12 8 12 41:47 44
10 Heimstetten 32 12 5 15 78:70 41
11 Nordlingen 32 12 5 15 53:56 41
12 Turkspor Augsburg 32 10 7 15 37:59 37
13 Ismaning 32 9 8 15 35:51 35
14 TSV Grunwald 32 9 6 17 54:78 33
15 Sonthofen 32 9 5 18 39:60 32
16 Unterhaching II 32 8 7 17 32:61 31
17 Rain/Lech 32 5 5 22 39:76 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 (Relegation)