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Raith vs Ayr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Championship Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy
Raith Logo

Raith

2 - 0
FT
Ayr Logo

Ayr

Our Tip

Match Events

5'
King L.
9' Event
Dowds A.
Assist: Delaney Z.
15' Event
Dowds A.
Assist: McMullan P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Raith in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Raith.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Raith
15%
Draws
32%
Ayr
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Raith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Raith lately — more wins on the board than Ayr.
  • Raith are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Raith Clean Sheet 68%
Ayr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raith Ayr
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Championship
Raith vs Ayr
2:0
Mar 27, 2026 Championship
Raith vs Ayr
3:0
Jan 31, 2026 Championship
Ayr vs Raith
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 Championship
Raith vs Ayr
0:2
Aug 9, 2025 Championship
Ayr vs Raith
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Raith Compare

Top Goalscorer Dowds A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ayr Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raith 77 / 100
Ayr 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raith Ayr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raith Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Raith scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Ayr has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Raith remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Raith VS Ayr
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Raith

(Home)
03 Oct
Morton
1 : 2
Raith
25 Sept
Raith
0 : 2
Livingston
19 Sept
Partick
0 : 0
Raith
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0
Arbroath
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2
Raith
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Ayr

(Away)
03 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Ayr
25 Sept
Ayr
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
18 Sept
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Ayr
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3
Inverness
05 Sept
Partick
1 : 0
Ayr
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 8 7 1 0 12:2 22
2 Raith 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
3 Partick 8 4 3 1 8:2 15
4 Livingston 9 4 1 4 13:9 13
5 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
6 Ayr 9 3 2 4 9:10 11
7 Arbroath 9 3 2 4 6:13 11
8 Inverness 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
9 Queen's Park 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
10 Morton 9 0 1 8 5:17 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)