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Raith vs Queen of the South

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Stark's Park
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Easton D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Raith host Queen of the South in the Challenge Cup. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Queen of the South have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Raith have conceded 1.38 and scored 2.25. Past meetings favor Raith slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 6, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.50, favoring Raith. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Raith
6%
Draws
4%
Queen of the South
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Raith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Raith has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Queen of the South.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Raith.
  • Cup tournament structure in Challenge Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Raith Clean Sheet 16%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raith Queen of the South
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2026 Challenge Cup
Raith vs Queen of the South
1:0
Jun 29, 2022 Club Friendly
Raith vs Queen of the South
1:2
Apr 3, 2022 Challenge Cup
Raith vs Queen of the South
3:1
Mar 12, 2022 Championship
Queen of the South vs Raith
0:1
Feb 1, 2022 Championship
Raith vs Queen of the South
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raith 84 / 100
Queen of the South 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raith Queen of the South

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Raith scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Queen of the South let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Raith went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Queen of the South lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Raith VS Queen of the South
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Arbroath3
Kelty Hearts2
Elgin City2
East Fife3
Alloa2
Airdrieonians3
Montrose2
Spartans1
Queen's Park2
Clyde1
Forfar Athletic2
Edinburgh City1
Raith5
Hamilton2
Queen of the South4
Dunfermline3
Hearts B0
St Johnstone1
Ross County4
Celtic B0
Ayr2
Peterhead1
East Kilbride1
Stranraer4
Cove Rangers1
Partick2
Dumbarton0
Inverness9
Stirling3
Morton2
Stenhousemuir2
Annan0
1/8-finals
Arbroath3
East Fife0
Airdrieonians3
Montrose1
Queen's Park2
Forfar Athletic0
Raith1
Queen of the South0
St Johnstone2
Ross County0
Ayr4
Stranraer1
Partick3
Inverness4
Stirling1
Stenhousemuir2
Quarter-finals
Arbroath2
Airdrieonians3
Queen's Park1
Raith2
St Johnstone3
Ayr4
Inverness1
Stenhousemuir0
Semi-finals
Airdrieonians1
Raith2
Ayr1
Inverness2
Final
Raith4
Inverness1