Sport Picks
Raja Beni Mellal vs Mouloudia Oujda Prediction & H2H Stats
Morocco
Botola 2 2025/2026 Stade honneur de Beni Mellal, Beni Mellal 
AI Match Summary
Raja Beni Mellal in this Botola 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Raja Beni Mellal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Raja Beni Mellal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Mouloudia Oujda at 1.17 per game, Raja Beni Mellal at 0.8.
- Raja Beni Mellal are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Raja Beni Mellal Clean Sheet 68%
Mouloudia Oujda Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Raja Beni Mellal | Mouloudia Oujda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Botola 2
Raja Beni Mellal vs Mouloudia Oujda
3:2
Nov 29, 2025 Botola 2
Mouloudia Oujda vs Raja Beni Mellal
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Botola 2
Mouloudia Oujda vs Raja Beni Mellal
2:2
Oct 26, 2024 Botola 2
Raja Beni Mellal vs Mouloudia Oujda
2:0
Aug 27, 2020 Botola Pro
Mouloudia Oujda vs Raja Beni Mellal
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Raja Beni Mellal 77 / 100
Mouloudia Oujda 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Raja Beni Mellal Mouloudia Oujda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Raja Beni Mellal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mouloudia Oujda has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Raja Beni Mellal's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Raja Beni Mellal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Raja Beni Mellal VS Mouloudia Oujda
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Raja Beni Mellal
(Home) 05 Jul
Jeunesse Massira
3 : 1 Raja Beni Mellal
27 Jun
Raja Beni Mellal
2 : 0 Chabab Mohammedia
20 Jun
Widad Temara
2 : 1 Raja Beni Mellal
13 Jun
Raja Beni Mellal
3 : 0 Chabab Atlas Khenifra
06 Jun
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
1 : 1 Raja Beni Mellal
Page 1 of 6
27 Jun
Raja Beni Mellal
2 : 0 Chabab Mohammedia
13 Jun
Raja Beni Mellal
3 : 0 Chabab Atlas Khenifra
23 May
Raja Beni Mellal
3 : 2 Mouloudia Oujda
17 May
Raja Beni Mellal
0 : 2 Wydad Athletic
02 May
Raja Beni Mellal
2 : 0 Moghreb Tetouan
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Mouloudia Oujda
(Away) 27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1 Mouloudia Oujda
05 Jul
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1 Wydad Fes
27 Jun
Amal Tiznit
1 : 1 Mouloudia Oujda
20 Jun
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1 Chabab Benguerir
14 Jun
KAC Kenitra
1 : 0 Mouloudia Oujda
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1 Mouloudia Oujda
27 Jun
Amal Tiznit
1 : 1 Mouloudia Oujda
14 Jun
KAC Kenitra
1 : 0 Mouloudia Oujda
23 May
Raja Beni Mellal
3 : 2 Mouloudia Oujda
02 May
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
4 : 0 Mouloudia Oujda
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moghreb Tetouan | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 33:22 | 53 |
| 2 | Widad Temara | 30 | 13 | 14 | 3 | 36:26 | 53 |
| 3 | Amal Tiznit | 30 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 36:26 | 46 |
| 4 | Jeunesse Massira | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 29:21 | 44 |
| 5 | Chabab Atlas Khenifra | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 26:24 | 43 |
| 6 | Jeunesse Sportive Soualem | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 37:35 | 42 |
| 7 | Stade Marocain | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 23:24 | 41 |
| 8 | Wydad Fes | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 34:30 | 38 |
| 9 | Mouloudia Oujda | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 35:38 | 37 |
| 10 | Chabab Benguerir | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 25:28 | 37 |
| 11 | USM Oujda | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 29:30 | 37 |
| 12 | Chabab Mohammedia | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | KAC Kenitra | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 35:36 | 36 |
| 14 | US Boujaad | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 25:22 | 35 |
| 15 | Raja Beni Mellal | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 25:32 | 32 |
| 16 | RAC Casablanca | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 18 |
Promotion - Botola Pro (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
