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Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat Prediction & H2H Stats

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro 2025/2026 Stade Mohamed V, Casablanca
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ennaffati A.
41' Event
Sakho P.
Assist: Al Makahasi M.
58' Event
El Mhassani H.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Raja Casablanca in this Botola Pro 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Raja Casablanca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Raja Casablanca
35%
Draws
15%
FUS Rabat
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Raja Casablanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Raja Casablanca have won more games recently than FUS Rabat.
  • Raja Casablanca are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Botola Pro 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Raja Casablanca here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Raja Casablanca Clean Sheet 68%
FUS Rabat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raja Casablanca FUS Rabat
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.32 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Botola Pro
Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat
4:1
Sep 13, 2025 Botola Pro
FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca
0:2
Jan 26, 2025 Botola Pro
FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca
2:1
Oct 2, 2024 Botola Pro
Raja Casablanca vs FUS Rabat
1:0
Mar 10, 2024 Botola Pro
FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Raja Casablanca Compare

Top Goalscorer Ennaffati A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sakho P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FUS Rabat Compare

Top Goalscorer Serrhat A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raja Casablanca 77 / 100
FUS Rabat 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raja Casablanca FUS Rabat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raja Casablanca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Raja Casablanca scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

FUS Rabat let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Raja Casablanca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Raja Casablanca VS FUS Rabat
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Raja Casablanca

(Home)
05 Jul
Olympique de Safi
0 : 2
Raja Casablanca
02 Jul
Raja Casablanca
2 : 0
Hassania Agadir
28 Jun
IR Tanger
1 : 1
Raja Casablanca
25 Jun
Yacoub El Mansour
2 : 1
Raja Casablanca
21 Jun
Raja Casablanca
2 : 1
COD Meknes
Page 1 of 6

FUS Rabat

(Away)
26 Sept
Union Touarga
2 : 1
FUS Rabat
29 Aug
FUS Rabat
0 : 0
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
14 Aug
FUS Rabat
0 : 0
IR Tanger
05 Jul
FUS Rabat
0 : 1
Yacoub El Mansour
02 Jul
Renaissance Zemamra
1 : 1
FUS Rabat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maghreb Fez 30 16 11 3 40:17 59
2 Berkane 30 16 9 5 44:27 57
3 Raja Casablanca 30 16 8 6 39:19 56
4 FAR Rabat 30 13 16 1 45:22 55
5 Wydad Athletic 30 13 4 13 39:33 43
6 Difaa El Jadidi 30 9 13 8 30:34 40
7 IR Tanger 30 9 12 9 27:31 39
8 FUS Rabat 30 9 10 11 31:36 37
9 Kawkab Marrakech 30 8 12 10 27:26 36
10 COD Meknes 30 9 9 12 24:33 36
11 Renaissance Zemamra 30 8 9 13 28:37 33
12 Hassania Agadir 30 8 9 13 27:39 33
13 Union Touarga 30 6 13 11 32:40 31
14 Dcheira 30 7 9 14 29:40 30
15 Yacoub El Mansour 30 7 9 14 34:44 30
16 Olympique de Safi 30 3 13 14 24:42 22
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Main)