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Rakhine United vs Ayeyawady Prediction & H2H Stats

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Zin Min T.
75' Event
Hein Htet Aung

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Rakhine United and Ayeyawady finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Rakhine United
15%
Draws
73%
Ayeyawady
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ayeyawady

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Ayeyawady carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Ayeyawady taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Rakhine United Clean Sheet 11%
Ayeyawady Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rakhine United Ayeyawady
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.53 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 National League
Ayeyawady vs Rakhine United
2:1
Dec 29, 2025 National League
Rakhine United vs Ayeyawady
1:1
Jun 19, 2025 MNL League Cup
Rakhine United vs Ayeyawady
0:3
Feb 24, 2025 National League
Ayeyawady vs Rakhine United
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 National League
Rakhine United vs Ayeyawady
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rakhine United Compare

Top Goalscorer Zin Min T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ayeyawady Compare

Top Goalscorer Hein Htet Aung
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakhine United 10 / 100
Ayeyawady 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rakhine United Ayeyawady

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayeyawady Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rakhine United found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Ayeyawady let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Ayeyawady's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rakhine United VS Ayeyawady
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rakhine United

(Home)
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 0
Rakhine United
06 Mar
Dagon Port
5 : 3
Rakhine United
02 Mar
Rakhine United
0 : 6
Shan United
24 Feb
Dagon
1 : 0
Rakhine United
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Ayeyawady

(Away)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
13 Mar
Ayeyawady
5 : 0
Yarmanya United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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