Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-East

Lok. Plovdiv II

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rakovski 2011 play Lok. Plovdiv II in the Third League - South-East. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rakovski 2011 averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. Lok. Plovdiv II averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Rakovski 2011 won 1, Lok. Plovdiv II won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Rakovski 2011 and 1.38 for Lok. Plovdiv II. This points to a Lok. Plovdiv II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Rakovski 2011

15%

Draws

46%

Lok. Plovdiv II

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lok. Plovdiv II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Rakovski 2011 picked up more points recently compared to Lok. Plovdiv II.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Rakovski 2011 Clean Sheet 17%

Lok. Plovdiv II Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rakovski 2011	Lok. Plovdiv II
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	8
Draws	2	4
Losses	21	18
Goals Scored	1.17	1.27
Goals Conceded	2.47	1.53
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Third League - South-East

Rakovski 2011 vs Lok. Plovdiv II

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Nov 2, 2025 Third League - South-East

Lok. Plovdiv II vs Rakovski 2011

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 4 - 2

5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakovski 2011 39 / 100

Lok. Plovdiv II 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rakovski 2011 Lok. Plovdiv II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lok. Plovdiv II or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rakovski 2011 attacking → ← attacking Lok. Plovdiv II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rakovski 2011 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Lok. Plovdiv II let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Rakovski 2011 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Lok. Plovdiv II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 28

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nesebar	36	29	4	3	116:22	91
2	Maritsa Plovdiv	36	23	6	7	90:40	75
3	Neftochimic Burgas	36	19	9	8	53:39	66
4	Yambol 1915	36	20	6	10	72:41	66
5	Levski Karlovo	36	20	5	11	64:53	65
6	Maritsa Milevo	36	17	9	10	64:32	60
7	Spartak Plovdiv	36	15	9	12	64:58	54
8	Sozopol	36	16	6	14	50:38	54
9	OFC Haskovo	36	15	7	14	52:48	52
10	Zagorets	36	13	10	13	52:60	49
11	Rozova Dolina	36	14	6	16	45:52	48
12	Gigant Saedinenie	36	14	5	17	56:59	47
13	Rodopa Smolyan	36	14	4	18	51:70	46
14	Atletik Kuklen	36	13	3	20	43:78	42
15	Sekirovo Rakovski	36	9	8	19	30:53	35
16	Dimitrovgrad	36	10	5	21	42:82	35
17	Lok. Plovdiv II	36	9	6	21	44:53	33
18	Rakovski 2011	36	8	3	25	46:94	27
19	Asenovets	36	6	5	25	30:92	23