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Rakow Czestochowa vs GKS Katowice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow, Częstochowa
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Shkurin I.
Assist: Nowak B.
37' Event
Makuch P.
48' Event
Nowak B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

GKS Katowice in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored GKS Katowice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Rakow Czestochowa
15%
Draws
46%
GKS Katowice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GKS Katowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • GKS Katowice have won more games recently than Rakow Czestochowa.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Rakow Czestochowa Clean Sheet 10%
GKS Katowice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rakow Czestochowa GKS Katowice
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.71 2
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs GKS Katowice
1:4
Jul 16, 2026 Club Friendly
GKS Katowice vs Rakow Czestochowa
1:1
Apr 9, 2026 Polish Cup
Rakow Czestochowa vs GKS Katowice
5:4
Dec 7, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs GKS Katowice
1:0
Jul 19, 2025 Ekstraklasa
GKS Katowice vs Rakow Czestochowa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rakow Czestochowa Compare

Top Goalscorer Makuch P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

GKS Katowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Shkurin I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kowalczyk M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakow Czestochowa 30 / 100
GKS Katowice 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rakow Czestochowa GKS Katowice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GKS Katowice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rakow Czestochowa scored in 89% of their last 35 games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

GKS Katowice let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Rakow Czestochowa stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rakow Czestochowa VS GKS Katowice
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rakow Czestochowa

(Home)
09 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
1 : 4
GKS Katowice
02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1
Polonia Bytom
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2
Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3
Zaglebie
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1
Motor Lublin
Page 1 of 7

GKS Katowice

(Away)
09 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
1 : 4
GKS Katowice
03 Oct
GKS Katowice
1 : 1
Ostrava
19 Sept
GKS Katowice
3 : 2
Cracovia
12 Sept
Zaglebie
2 : 1
GKS Katowice
04 Sept
Piast Gliwice
3 : 0
GKS Katowice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 16:8 22
2 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
3 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 GKS Katowice 9 5 0 4 20:14 15
6 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
7 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Zaglebie 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
9 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
10 Jagiellonia 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
11 Wisla Plock 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
12 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
13 KS Wieczysta Krakow 9 2 2 5 14:17 8
14 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
15 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
16 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 11:15 6
17 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
18 Rakow Czestochowa 10 1 0 9 13:25 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)