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Rakow Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow, Częstochowa
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Antiste J.
Assist: Janicki R.
34' Event
Janicki R.
Assist: Janza E.
36'
Sub
Perovic M. In: Silva J. C.
Out: Perovic M.

AI Match Summary

Gornik Zabrze in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gornik Zabrze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Rakow Czestochowa
15%
Draws
53%
Gornik Zabrze
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gornik Zabrze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Rakow Czestochowa haven't matched Gornik Zabrze's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gornik Zabrze have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Rakow Czestochowa Clean Sheet 10%
Gornik Zabrze Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rakow Czestochowa Gornik Zabrze
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.72 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze
1:2
May 2, 2026 Polish Cup
Gornik Zabrze vs Rakow Czestochowa
2:0
Mar 15, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Rakow Czestochowa
3:1
Sep 15, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze
0:1
Feb 21, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rakow Czestochowa Compare

Top Goalscorer Emreli M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gornik Zabrze Compare

Top Goalscorer Antiste J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Janicki R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakow Czestochowa 30 / 100
Gornik Zabrze 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rakow Czestochowa Gornik Zabrze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gornik Zabrze Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rakow Czestochowa scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Gornik Zabrze's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Rakow Czestochowa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rakow Czestochowa VS Gornik Zabrze
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rakow Czestochowa

(Home)
09 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
1 : 4
GKS Katowice
02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1
Polonia Bytom
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2
Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3
Zaglebie
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1
Motor Lublin
Page 1 of 6

Gornik Zabrze

(Away)
10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Gornik Zabrze
02 Oct
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 2
Odra Opole
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2
Gornik Zabrze
12 Sept
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1
Lech Poznan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 10 8 1 1 19:9 25
2 Lech Poznan 9 7 1 1 21:8 22
3 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 GKS Katowice 9 5 0 4 20:14 15
6 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
7 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Zaglebie 10 4 3 3 12:13 15
9 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
10 Jagiellonia 9 4 0 5 13:16 12
11 Cracovia 10 3 2 5 12:15 11
12 Wisla Plock 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
13 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
14 KS Wieczysta Krakow 9 2 2 5 14:17 8
15 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
17 Slask Wroclaw 10 1 3 6 12:19 6
18 Rakow Czestochowa 10 1 0 9 13:25 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)