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Rakow Czestochowa vs Lommel SK

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rakow Czestochowa play Lommel SK in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rakow Czestochowa averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Lommel SK averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, Rakow Czestochowa won 1, Lommel SK won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 8, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Rakow Czestochowa and 1.31 for Lommel SK. This points to a Rakow Czestochowa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Rakow Czestochowa
20%
Draws
38%
Lommel SK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rakow Czestochowa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Rakow Czestochowa picked up more points recently compared to Lommel SK.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Rakow Czestochowa Clean Sheet 18%
Lommel SK Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rakow Czestochowa Lommel SK
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 14 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.85 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Rakow Czestochowa vs Lommel SK
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rakow Czestochowa Compare

Top Goalscorer Konstantopoulos A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Repka O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Lommel SK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakow Czestochowa 41 / 100
Lommel SK 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rakow Czestochowa Lommel SK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rakow Czestochowa or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rakow Czestochowa attacking → ← attacking Lommel SK

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rakow Czestochowa scored in 85% of their last 26 games.

Lommel SK let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Rakow Czestochowa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lommel SK lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 60
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63