Sport Picks
Rakow Czestochowa vs Motor Lublin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Ekstraklasa Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow, Częstochowa 
Match Events
31'
31'
Struski K.
34'
34'
Lukoszek K.
Assist: Rodrigues I.
42'
42'
Makuch P.
Assist: Bulat M.
AI Match Summary
The Ekstraklasa game between Rakow Czestochowa and Motor Lublin finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rakow Czestochowa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rakow Czestochowa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Rakow Czestochowa carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Rakow Czestochowa Clean Sheet 13%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rakow Czestochowa | Motor Lublin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.56 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Motor Lublin
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Rakow Czestochowa
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Motor Lublin
2:0
Dec 7, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Motor Lublin
2:2
Jul 21, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Rakow Czestochowa
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rakow Czestochowa Compare
Top Goalscorer Makuch P.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Motor Lublin Compare
Top Goalscorer Lukoszek K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rakow Czestochowa 31 / 100
Motor Lublin 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rakow Czestochowa Motor Lublin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Rakow Czestochowa scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.
Motor Lublin let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Motor Lublin's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Rakow Czestochowa VS Motor Lublin
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Rakow Czestochowa
(Home) 09 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
1 : 4 GKS Katowice
02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1 Polonia Bytom
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3 Zaglebie
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1 Motor Lublin
Page 1 of 7
09 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
1 : 4 GKS Katowice
02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1 Polonia Bytom
15 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3 Zaglebie
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1 Motor Lublin
03 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
1 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
Page 1 of 4
Motor Lublin
(Away) 19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0 Gornik Zabrze
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1 Motor Lublin
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3 Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0 Legia
29 Aug
Motor Lublin
0 : 2 Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1 Motor Lublin
22 Aug
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 Motor Lublin
08 Aug
Pogon Szczecin
3 : 1 Motor Lublin
26 Jul
Widzew Lodz
2 : 2 Motor Lublin
23 May
Legia
4 : 0 Motor Lublin
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Legia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 7 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Zaglebie | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 13 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 14 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | 6 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
