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Rakow Czestochowa vs Polonia Bytom - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Molnar A.
9' Event
Mircetic B.
36' Event
Wojtyra K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Rakow Czestochowa and Polonia Bytom finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rakow Czestochowa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Rakow Czestochowa
30%
Draws
35%
Polonia Bytom
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rakow Czestochowa come out ahead of Polonia Bytom on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Rakow Czestochowa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Rakow Czestochowa Clean Sheet 13%
Polonia Bytom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rakow Czestochowa Polonia Bytom
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.7 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Rakow Czestochowa vs Polonia Bytom
4:1
Oct 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Polonia Bytom vs Rakow Czestochowa
0:1
May 21, 2017 Division 2
Polonia Bytom vs Rakow Czestochowa
1:4
Oct 29, 2016 Division 2
Rakow Czestochowa vs Polonia Bytom
1:0
Apr 16, 2016 Division 2
Polonia Bytom vs Rakow Czestochowa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rakow Czestochowa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mircetic B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Molnar A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Polonia Bytom Compare

Top Goalscorer Wojtyra K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakow Czestochowa 30 / 100
Polonia Bytom 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rakow Czestochowa Polonia Bytom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rakow Czestochowa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rakow Czestochowa's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Polonia Bytom conceded in 80% of 25 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Rakow Czestochowa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rakow Czestochowa VS Polonia Bytom
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rakow Czestochowa

(Home)
09 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
1 : 4
GKS Katowice
02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1
Polonia Bytom
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2
Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3
Zaglebie
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1
Motor Lublin
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Polonia Bytom

(Away)
02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1
Polonia Bytom
18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0
Ruch Chorzow
15 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
1 : 2
Polonia Bytom
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2
Polonia Bytom
06 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0
Podbeskidzie
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