Sport Picks
Rakow Czestochowa vs Zaglebie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Ekstraklasa Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow, Częstochowa 
Match Events
16'
16'
Sub
Kochergin V. In: Struski K.
Out: Kochergin V.
25'
25'
Tudor F.
45'
45'
Bulat M.
AI Match Summary
Zaglebie in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zaglebie.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zaglebie
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Zaglebie lately — more wins on the board than Rakow Czestochowa.
- Model gives Zaglebie a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Rakow Czestochowa Clean Sheet 11%
Zaglebie Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rakow Czestochowa | Zaglebie |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Zaglebie
2:3
Feb 14, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Rakow Czestochowa
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Zaglebie
0:1
Mar 31, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Rakow Czestochowa
0:2
Sep 22, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs Zaglebie
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rakow Czestochowa Compare
Top Goalscorer Bulat M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Zaglebie Compare
Top Goalscorer Nalepa M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Regula M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rakow Czestochowa 22 / 100
Zaglebie 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rakow Czestochowa Zaglebie
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zaglebie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Rakow Czestochowa scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Zaglebie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Rakow Czestochowa stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rakow Czestochowa VS Zaglebie
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rakow Czestochowa
(Home) 09 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
1 : 4 GKS Katowice
02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1 Polonia Bytom
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3 Zaglebie
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1 Motor Lublin
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
1 : 4 GKS Katowice
02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1 Polonia Bytom
15 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3 Zaglebie
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1 Motor Lublin
03 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
1 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
Page 1 of 3
Zaglebie
(Away) 10 Oct
Cracovia
3 : 1 Zaglebie
03 Oct
Zaglebie
1 : 0 Legnica
20 Sept
Zaglebie
0 : 2 Wisla Plock
15 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3 Zaglebie
12 Sept
Zaglebie
2 : 1 GKS Katowice
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Cracovia
3 : 1 Zaglebie
15 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3 Zaglebie
07 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow
1 : 1 Zaglebie
01 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3 : 2 Zaglebie
23 Aug
Radomiak Radom
0 : 0 Zaglebie
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Legia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 7 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Zaglebie | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 13 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 14 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | 6 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
