Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League 2025/2026 ArcelorMittal Park

Zrinjski

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rakow Czestochowa play Zrinjski in the Conference League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rakow Czestochowa averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Zrinjski averaged 1.64 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. In past meetings, Rakow Czestochowa won 1, Zrinjski won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 11, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Rakow Czestochowa and 1.06 for Zrinjski. This points to a Rakow Czestochowa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Rakow Czestochowa

22%

Draws

38%

Zrinjski

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Rakow Czestochowa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Rakow Czestochowa picked up more points recently compared to Zrinjski.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Rakow Czestochowa Clean Sheet 22%

Zrinjski Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rakow Czestochowa	Zrinjski
Matches Played	26	33
Wins	14	20
Draws	5	8
Losses	7	5
Goals Scored	1.85	1.64
Goals Conceded	1.19	0.73
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 11, 2025 Conference League

Rakow Czestochowa vs Zrinjski

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 0 - 4

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakow Czestochowa 40 / 100

Zrinjski 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rakow Czestochowa Zrinjski

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rakow Czestochowa or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rakow Czestochowa attacking → ← attacking Zrinjski

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rakow Czestochowa scored in 85% of their last 26 games.

Zrinjski let in goals in 52% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Rakow Czestochowa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Zrinjski lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 68

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Strasbourg	6	5	1	0	11:5	16
2	Rakow Czestochowa	6	4	2	0	9:2	14
3	AEK	6	4	1	1	14:7	13
4	Sparta Prague	6	4	1	1	10:3	13
5	Rayo Vallecano	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
6	Shakhtar	6	4	1	1	10:5	13
7	Mainz	6	4	1	1	7:3	13
8	AEK Larnaca	6	3	3	0	7:1	12
9	Lausanne	6	3	2	1	6:3	11
10	Crystal Palace	6	3	1	2	11:6	10
11	Lech Poznan	6	3	1	2	12:8	10
12	Samsunspor	6	3	1	2	10:6	10
13	Celje	6	3	1	2	8:7	10
14	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	1	2	7:7	10
15	Fiorentina	6	3	0	3	8:5	9
16	Rijeka	6	2	3	1	5:2	9
17	Jagiellonia	6	2	3	1	5:4	9
18	Omonia	6	2	2	2	5:4	8
19	Noah	6	2	2	2	6:7	8
20	Drita	6	2	2	2	4:8	8
21	KuPS	6	1	4	1	6:5	7
22	Shkendija Tetovo	6	2	1	3	4:5	7
23	Zrinjski	6	2	1	3	8:10	7
24	Sigma Olomouc	6	2	1	3	7:9	7
25	Univ. Craiova	6	2	1	3	6:8	7
26	Lincoln Red Imps	6	2	1	3	7:15	7
27	Dynamo Kyiv	6	2	0	4	9:9	6
28	Legia	6	2	0	4	8:8	6
29	Slovan Bratislava	6	2	0	4	5:9	6
30	Breidablik	6	1	2	3	6:11	5
31	Shamrock Rovers	6	1	1	4	7:13	4
32	Hacken	6	0	3	3	5:8	3
33	Hamrun	6	1	0	5	4:11	3
34	Shelbourne	6	0	2	4	0:7	2
35	Aberdeen	6	0	2	4	3:14	2
36	Rapid Vienna	6	0	1	5	3:14	1