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Rana FK vs Steinkjer

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Halsoy M.
15' Event
Gronning K.
33' Event
Rade K.

AI Match Summary

Rana FK in this Division 3 - Group 5 2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rana FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Rana FK
15%
Draws
36%
Steinkjer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rana FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Rana FK have won more games recently than Steinkjer.
  • Rana FK are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
  • Rana FK have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Rana FK Clean Sheet 68%
Steinkjer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rana FK Steinkjer
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 21 9
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 2.31 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.69 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Steinkjer vs Rana FK
2:4
Jul 22, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Rana FK vs Steinkjer
5:1
Sep 3, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Steinkjer vs Rana FK
1:2
May 29, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Rana FK vs Steinkjer
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rana FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Halsoy M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gronning K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94

Steinkjer Compare

Top Goalscorer Grotan Kvistad S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rana FK 86 / 100
Steinkjer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rana FK Steinkjer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rana FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rana FK scored in 90% of their last 39 outings.

Steinkjer let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Steinkjer lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rana FK VS Steinkjer
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 6
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Rana FK

(Home)
19 Sept
Rana FK
0 : 1
Honefoss
13 Sept
Rana FK
0 : 1
Lorenskog
06 Sept
Grorud
4 : 2
Rana FK
30 Aug
Rana FK
2 : 1
Ull/Kisa
26 Aug
Rana FK
3 : 3
Follo
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Steinkjer

(Away)
22 Aug
Steinkjer
0 : 6
Ranheim
29 Oct
Steinkjer
0 : 1
Verdal
22 Oct
Bodo/Glimt 2
8 : 0
Steinkjer
14 Oct
Steinkjer
2 : 4
Rana FK
07 Oct
Tronder-Lyn
1 : 6
Steinkjer
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