Sport Picks

Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2024

Verdal

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rana FK play Verdal in the Division 3 - Group 4 2024. Rana FK are favorites here. Recently, Rana FK averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. Verdal averaged 1.43 goals scored and 3.07 conceded. In past meetings, Rana FK won 4, Verdal won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 7, 2024 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Rana FK and 1.38 for Verdal. This points to a Rana FK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%

Rana FK

15%

Draws

24%

Verdal

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rana FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence

Rana FK picked up more points recently compared to Verdal.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 47%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%

Rana FK Clean Sheet 17%

Verdal Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rana FK	Verdal
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	15	6
Draws	3	6
Losses	13	16
Goals Scored	1.94	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.81	3.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	10.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4

Rana FK vs Verdal

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

6:1

May 25, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4

Verdal vs Rana FK

Possession: 54% - 40% Cards: 3 - 1

1:4

Aug 19, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5

Verdal vs Rana FK

Possession: 60% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

1:4

May 13, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5

Rana FK vs Verdal

Possession: 47% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rana FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Olsen T.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Beyene S.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Verdal Compare

Top Goalscorer Hansen S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rana FK 58 / 100

Verdal 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rana FK Verdal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rana FK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Rana FK & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.3%

1.89

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.37

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rana FK attacking → ← attacking Verdal

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rana FK scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Verdal let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Rana FK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Verdal lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 24

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 10.00