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Ranchers Bees vs Doma United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ranchers Bees host Doma United in the NPFL. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Ranchers Bees have averaged 0.9 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Doma United's 1.07 scored and 1.14 conceded. Past meetings favor Ranchers Bees slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.31, favoring Ranchers Bees. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ranchers Bees
30%
Draws
31%
Doma United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ranchers Bees

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Doma United come out ahead of Ranchers Bees on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Ranchers Bees taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Ranchers Bees Clean Sheet 18%
Doma United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ranchers Bees Doma United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 NNL
Doma United vs Ranchers Bees
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ranchers Bees 58 / 100
Doma United 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ranchers Bees Doma United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ranchers Bees Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Ranchers Bees has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Doma United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ranchers Bees scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ranchers Bees VS Doma United
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ranchers Bees

(Home)
10 Oct
Ranchers Bees
0 : 0
Niger Tornadoes
04 Oct
Kwara
2 : 1
Ranchers Bees
28 Sept
Ranchers Bees
0 : 0
Rivers United
23 Sept
Rangers International
1 : 0
Ranchers Bees
19 Sept
Ranchers Bees
2 : 1
Bendel
Page 1 of 6

Doma United

(Away)
11 Oct
Nasarawa United
2 : 0
Doma United
04 Oct
Doma United
1 : 0
Warri Wolves
27 Sept
Katsina Utd
2 : 1
Doma United
23 Sept
Doma United
2 : 2
Plateau United
20 Sept
Kano Pillars
4 : 1
Doma United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rangers International 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
2 Rivers United 8 4 4 0 13:2 16
3 Plateau United 8 4 2 2 13:8 14
4 Barau 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
5 Doma United 8 4 1 3 10:10 13
6 Ikorodu City 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
7 Bendel 8 4 0 4 14:13 12
8 Sporting Lagos 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
9 Katsina Utd 8 3 3 2 10:11 12
10 Kano Pillars 8 2 5 1 11:11 11
11 Nasarawa United 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
12 Kwara 8 3 1 4 9:9 10
13 Warri Wolves 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
14 Niger Tornadoes 8 2 3 3 6:7 9
15 Abia Warriors 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
16 Ranchers Bees 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
17 Shooting 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
18 Kun Khalifa 8 2 2 4 7:14 8
19 Enyimba International 8 2 1 5 11:14 7
20 Inter Lagos 8 1 2 5 5:13 5
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)