Sport Picks

Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026

Rancho Santana

0 - 3

Sport Sebaco

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Mejia E.

24'

Castillo E.

82'

Mejia E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera 2025/2026 game between Rancho Santana and Sport Sebaco finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Sebaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Rancho Santana

30%

Draws

34%

Sport Sebaco

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rancho Santana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Sport Sebaco carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Rancho Santana's way, sitting at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Sport Sebaco here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Rancho Santana Clean Sheet 10%

Sport Sebaco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rancho Santana	Sport Sebaco
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	7	10
Draws	5	5
Losses	17	14
Goals Scored	1	1.63
Goals Conceded	2.5	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga Primera

Rancho Santana vs Sport Sebaco

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

0:3

Feb 12, 2026 Liga Primera

Sport Sebaco vs Rancho Santana

Possession: 44% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Oct 25, 2025 Liga Primera

Sport Sebaco vs Rancho Santana

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Aug 17, 2025 Liga Primera

Rancho Santana vs Sport Sebaco

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Apr 30, 2025 Liga Primera

Rancho Santana vs Sport Sebaco

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rancho Santana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Sport Sebaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Mejia E.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Castillo E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rancho Santana 34 / 100

Sport Sebaco 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rancho Santana Sport Sebaco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rancho Santana's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sport Sebaco has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Rancho Santana remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rancho Santana VS Sport Sebaco

1 Goals Scored 1.63

2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Diriangen	18	12	3	3	40:19	39
2	Esteli	18	11	4	3	41:19	37
3	Jalapa	18	9	6	3	29:16	33
4	Managua FC	18	8	5	5	22:18	29
5	Matagalpa	18	5	7	6	30:24	22
6	Walter Ferreti	18	5	6	7	18:28	21
7	Sport Sebaco	18	6	2	10	23:24	20
8	UNAN-Managua	18	4	4	10	21:34	16
9	Rancho Santana	18	4	4	10	20:43	16
10	Real Madriz	18	4	3	11	14:33	15