Sport Picks

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Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferreti

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Rivera M.
41' Event
Vallecillo F.
55' Event
Jiron N.

AI Match Summary

Walter Ferreti in this Liga Primera matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Walter Ferreti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Rancho Santana
30%
Draws
12%
Walter Ferreti
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rancho Santana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Walter Ferreti have won more games recently than Rancho Santana.
  • Rancho Santana are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Rancho Santana Clean Sheet 13%
Walter Ferreti Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rancho Santana Walter Ferreti
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferreti
1:3
Apr 10, 2026 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Rancho Santana
0:0
Feb 8, 2026 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferreti
2:2
Oct 22, 2025 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferreti
1:1
Aug 11, 2025 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Rancho Santana
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rancho Santana Compare

Top Goalscorer Jiron N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Walter Ferreti Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivera M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vallecillo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rancho Santana 35 / 100
Walter Ferreti 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rancho Santana Walter Ferreti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Walter Ferreti let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Rancho Santana scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Rancho Santana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rancho Santana VS Walter Ferreti
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rancho Santana

(Home)
06 Sept
Rancho Santana
1 : 1
Esteli
02 Sept
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
30 Aug
Matagalpa
0 : 1
Rancho Santana
23 Aug
Rancho Santana
1 : 2
San Marcos
15 Aug
Rancho Santana
1 : 3
Walter Ferreti
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Walter Ferreti

(Away)
20 Sept
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
Jalapa
06 Sept
Walter Ferreti
2 : 3
Managua FC
02 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
30 Aug
San Marcos
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 9 7 2 0 27:9 23
2 Diriangen 9 7 2 0 20:6 23
3 Esteli 9 5 3 1 17:6 18
4 UNAN-Managua 9 5 2 2 11:7 17
5 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
6 San Marcos 9 3 1 5 8:14 10
7 Matagalpa 9 3 0 6 4:16 9
8 Walter Ferreti 10 2 1 7 12:17 7
9 Jalapa 10 2 1 7 5:14 7
10 Rancho Santana 9 1 2 6 7:14 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)