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Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferreti

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rancho Santana play Walter Ferreti in the Liga Primera. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rancho Santana averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Walter Ferreti averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Rancho Santana won 0, Walter Ferreti won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 10, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Rancho Santana and 2.25 for Walter Ferreti. This points to a Walter Ferreti double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Rancho Santana
34%
Draws
37%
Walter Ferreti
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Walter Ferreti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Rancho Santana picked up more points recently compared to Walter Ferreti.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Rancho Santana Clean Sheet 10%
Walter Ferreti Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rancho Santana Walter Ferreti
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Rancho Santana
0:0
Feb 8, 2026 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferreti
2:2
Oct 22, 2025 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferreti
1:1
Aug 11, 2025 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Rancho Santana
6:2
Jul 7, 2025 Copa Primera
Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferreti
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rancho Santana Compare

Top Goalscorer Velasquez A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Walter Ferreti Compare

Top Goalscorer Dos Santos L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caceres J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rancho Santana 28 / 100
Walter Ferreti 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rancho Santana Walter Ferreti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Walter Ferreti or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rancho Santana attacking → ← attacking Walter Ferreti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rancho Santana scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Walter Ferreti let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Rancho Santana went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Walter Ferreti lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 35
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Diriangen18123340:1939
2Esteli18114341:1937
3Jalapa1896329:1633
4Managua FC1885522:1829
5Matagalpa1857630:2422
6Walter Ferreti1856718:2821
7Sport Sebaco18621023:2420
8UNAN-Managua18441021:3416
9Rancho Santana18441020:4316
10Real Madriz18431114:3315