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Ranheim 2 vs Aalesund 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ranheim 2 play Aalesund 2 in the Division 3 - Group 2 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ranheim 2 averaged 2.74 goals scored and 2.35 conceded. Aalesund 2 averaged 1.74 goals scored and 2.61 conceded. In past meetings, Ranheim 2 won 3, Aalesund 2 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 22, 2026 ended 2:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.88 for Ranheim 2 and 2.00 for Aalesund 2. This points to a Ranheim 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ranheim 2
21%
Draws
33%
Aalesund 2
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Ranheim 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Ranheim 2 picked up more points recently compared to Aalesund 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.88 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
Ranheim 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Aalesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ranheim 2 Aalesund 2
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 10 3
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 2.74 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.35 2.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Ranheim 2
2:5
Sep 21, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Ranheim 2 vs Aalesund 2
2:0
May 4, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Ranheim 2
4:3
Oct 30, 2021 Division 3 - Group 5
Ranheim 2 vs Aalesund 2
3:2
Oct 31, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Ranheim 2 vs Aalesund 2
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ranheim 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aarvag S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berisha J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Aalesund 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ranheim 2 43 / 100
Aalesund 2 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ranheim 2 Aalesund 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ranheim 2 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ranheim 2 attacking → ← attacking Aalesund 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ranheim 2 scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Aalesund 2 let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Ranheim 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Aalesund 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 36
2.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88