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Ranong vs Phrae United Prediction & H2H Stats

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Rodrigo Maranhao

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 2022/2023 game between Ranong and Phrae United finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Phrae United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ranong
20%
Draws
64%
Phrae United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Phrae United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Phrae United come out ahead of Ranong on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Phrae United's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ranong Clean Sheet 20%
Phrae United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ranong Phrae United
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.8 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2023 Thai League 2
Ranong vs Phrae United
0:1
Sep 2, 2022 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Ranong
1:2
Mar 12, 2022 Thai League 2
Ranong vs Phrae United
1:0
Oct 31, 2021 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Ranong
1:2
Feb 28, 2021 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Ranong
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ranong Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Phrae United Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo Maranhao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ranong 28 / 100
Phrae United 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ranong Phrae United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Phrae United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phrae United let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Phrae United's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ranong's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Phrae United
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ranong

(Home)
30 Apr
Chiangmai FC
3 : 2
Ranong
22 Apr
Ranong
0 : 5
Uthai Thani
08 Apr
Samut Prakan City
2 : 0
Ranong
02 Apr
Ranong
2 : 2
Krabi
29 Mar
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 0
Ranong
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Phrae United

(Away)
20 Sept
Pattaya United
0 : 3
Phrae United
17 Sept
Muang Loei Utd
2 : 0
Phrae United
13 Sept
Phrae United
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1
Phrae United
25 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 2
Nakhon Pathom
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nakhon Pathom 34 16 12 6 32:20 60
2 Trat FC 34 17 9 8 55:34 60
3 Uthai Thani 34 16 11 7 70:36 59
4 Customs Utd 34 17 7 10 45:31 58
5 Chiangmai United 34 15 9 10 36:32 54
6 Suphanburi FC 34 16 4 14 36:35 52
7 Rayong FC 34 14 10 10 41:30 52
8 Nakhon Si United 34 14 9 11 48:42 51
9 Phrae United 34 13 12 9 50:43 51
10 Ayutthaya United 34 15 6 13 50:43 51
11 Chiangmai FC 34 13 7 14 49:41 46
12 Krabi 34 10 12 12 46:46 42
13 Chainat Hornbill 34 11 8 15 44:48 41
14 Samut Prakan City 34 8 13 13 32:42 37
15 Kasetsart 34 8 13 13 35:42 37
16 Raj Pracha 34 9 10 15 29:41 37
17 Ranong 34 6 9 19 28:64 27
18 Udon Thani 34 6 3 25 31:87 21
Promotion - Thai League 1 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)