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Raon L Etape vs Metz

France France

Coupe de France 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Raon L Etape play Metz in the Coupe de France 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Raon L Etape averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Metz averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Raon L Etape won 0, Metz won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 29, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Raon L Etape and 0.80 for Metz. This points to a Raon L Etape double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Raon L Etape
20%
Draws
35%
Metz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Raon L Etape

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Raon L Etape picked up more points recently compared to Metz.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 0.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Raon L Etape Clean Sheet 26%
Metz Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raon L Etape Metz
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.28 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.69 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2024 Coupe de France
Raon L Etape vs Metz
0:1
Nov 1, 2022 Coupe de France
Raon L Etape vs Metz
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Raon L Etape Compare

Top Goalscorer Hassidou O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Metz Compare

Top Goalscorer Musaba A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikautadze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raon L Etape 46 / 100
Metz 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raon L Etape Metz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Raon L Etape or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Raon L Etape attacking → ← attacking Metz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Raon L Etape scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Metz let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Raon L Etape went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Metz lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 22
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88