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RapalloBogliasco vs Lavagnese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lavagnese in this Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lavagnese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
RapalloBogliasco
20%
Draws
16%
Lavagnese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RapalloBogliasco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • RapalloBogliasco have won more games recently than Lavagnese.
  • RapalloBogliasco are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lavagnese have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
RapalloBogliasco Clean Sheet 68%
Lavagnese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RapalloBogliasco Lavagnese
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2016 Serie D - Group A
RapalloBogliasco vs Lavagnese
0:3
Dec 20, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs RapalloBogliasco
1:0
Jan 21, 2015 Serie D - Group A
RapalloBogliasco vs Lavagnese
1:0
Sep 17, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs RapalloBogliasco
1:0
May 11, 2014 Serie D - Group A
RapalloBogliasco vs Lavagnese
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RapalloBogliasco 95 / 100
Lavagnese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RapalloBogliasco Lavagnese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RapalloBogliasco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: RapalloBogliasco scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Lavagnese let in goals in 71% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Lavagnese has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lavagnese
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

RapalloBogliasco

(Home)
08 May
RapalloBogliasco
0 : 3
Lavagnese
01 May
Fezzanese
3 : 2
RapalloBogliasco
24 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
17 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1
RapalloBogliasco
10 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
6 : 1
Novese
Page 1 of 6

Lavagnese

(Away)
03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3
Varese FC
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0
Lavagnese
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2
Vado
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0
Lavagnese
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Bellinzago 38 27 5 6 74:31 86
2 Caronnese 38 24 10 4 74:23 82
3 Lavagnese 38 21 11 6 66:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 22 6 10 74:41 72
5 Argentina 38 18 12 8 48:25 66
6 Gozzano 38 18 9 11 66:38 63
7 Sestri Levante 38 16 13 9 40:25 61
8 Pinerolo 38 19 4 15 50:46 61
9 RapalloBogliasco 38 16 9 13 52:40 57
10 OltrepoVoghera 38 13 14 11 53:44 53
11 Derthona FbC 38 13 13 12 52:48 52
12 Bra 38 15 6 17 53:55 51
13 Borgosesia Calcio 38 12 11 15 40:46 47
14 Pro Settimo 38 11 10 17 36:45 43
15 Ligorna 38 10 10 18 45:73 40
16 Vado 38 10 10 18 43:61 40
17 Fezzanese 38 9 7 22 38:75 34
18 Acqui US 38 7 7 24 29:70 28
19 Castellazzo 38 5 7 26 29:73 22
20 Novese 38 5 4 29 26:99 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)