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Rapido de Bouzas vs Lugo B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Arhoun U.
45' Event
Cellerino G.
66' Event
Rubal P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 game between Rapido de Bouzas and Lugo B finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lugo B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Rapido de Bouzas
39%
Draws
30%
Lugo B
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Lugo B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Rapido de Bouzas Clean Sheet 21%
Lugo B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rapido de Bouzas Lugo B
Matches Played 32 37
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 11
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Rapido de Bouzas vs Lugo B
1:2
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Rapido de Bouzas
0:1
Apr 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Rapido de Bouzas vs Lugo B
2:2
Dec 4, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Rapido de Bouzas
1:1
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Rapido de Bouzas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rapido de Bouzas Compare

Top Goalscorer Cellerino G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Lugo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Arhoun U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rubal P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rapido de Bouzas 32 / 100
Lugo B 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rapido de Bouzas Lugo B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rapido de Bouzas scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Lugo B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 37 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Rapido de Bouzas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lugo B
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bergantinos342110349:1973
2Gran Pena341516348:3061
3Arosa SC341513639:2358
4UD Ourense341510947:3455
5Sarriana341481243:3550
6Atletico Arteixo341114946:3947
7Somozas341291343:3945
8Estradense3411121131:3245
9Barbadas-Bentraces3410141033:3444
10Viveiro341281439:4244
11Alondras3410141037:3644
12Silva SD3411101335:3543
13Lugo B3411101332:3443
14Betanzos CF3410131135:3143
15Rapido de Bouzas341191438:4042
16Paiosaco3410111330:4241
17Pontevedra B34752227:6526
18Arzua34462424:6618