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Raplamaa vs Tartu Kalev Prediction & H2H Stats

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Esiliiga B 2022
Raplamaa Logo

Raplamaa

3 - 1
FT
Tartu Kalev Logo

Tartu Kalev

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2022 game between Raplamaa and Tartu Kalev finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Raplamaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Raplamaa
15%
Draws
85%
Tartu Kalev
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tartu Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tartu Kalev come out ahead of Raplamaa on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Tartu Kalev taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
  • Tartu Kalev have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 100%
Over 4.5 Goals 45%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Raplamaa Clean Sheet 10%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raplamaa Tartu Kalev
Matches Played 30 45
Wins 2 26
Draws 0 2
Losses 28 17
Goals Scored 0.8 2.6
Goals Conceded 3.87 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2022 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Raplamaa
1:0
Sep 1, 2022 Esiliiga B
Raplamaa vs Tartu Kalev
3:1
May 14, 2022 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Raplamaa
2:0
Apr 14, 2022 Esiliiga B
Raplamaa vs Tartu Kalev
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raplamaa 10 / 100
Tartu Kalev 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raplamaa Tartu Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tartu Kalev Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Tartu Kalev let in goals in 67% of their last 45 matches.

Away concern: Tartu Kalev has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Raplamaa's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Raplamaa VS Tartu Kalev
0 Goals Scored 4.25
12 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Raplamaa

(Home)
23 Jul
Nomme Utd
12 : 0
Raplamaa
18 Jun
Raplamaa
1 : 5
Saku Sporting
12 Jun
Legion
3 : 1
Raplamaa
29 Jul
Raplamaa
1 : 5
Laanemaa Haapsalu
13 Nov
Raplamaa
0 : 3
Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 6

Tartu Kalev

(Away)
26 Sept
Tulevik
6 : 1
Tartu Kalev
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Tallinn 36 24 9 3 117:38 81
2 Tabasalu 36 25 4 7 120:50 79
3 Tallinna Kalev U21 36 20 8 8 88:48 68
4 Tartu JK Welco 36 17 10 9 68:47 61
5 Tammeka Tartu II 36 16 8 12 70:59 56
6 Legion U21 36 13 4 19 60:86 43
7 Tartu Kalev 36 11 7 18 55:81 40
8 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 10 7 19 49:84 37
9 Kalju U21 36 10 4 22 54:100 34
10 Raplamaa 36 2 3 31 33:121 9
Promotion - Esiliiga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2022 (Relegation)