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Rapperswil-Jona vs Wil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Grünfeld, Rapperswil-Jona
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bakayoko A.
5' Event
Rupp N.
13' Event
Schmid Y.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League game between Rapperswil-Jona and Wil finished 4-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Rapperswil-Jona
30%
Draws
29%
Wil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rapperswil-Jona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Rapperswil-Jona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Rapperswil-Jona taking it.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Rapperswil-Jona Clean Sheet 20%
Wil Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rapperswil-Jona Wil
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Wil
4:5
Apr 11, 2026 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Wil
2:0
Feb 13, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Rapperswil-Jona
0:2
Nov 7, 2025 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Wil
1:2
Aug 26, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Rapperswil-Jona
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rapperswil-Jona Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakayoko A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pousa R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Wil Compare

Top Goalscorer Rupp N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keita B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rapperswil-Jona 85 / 100
Wil 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rapperswil-Jona Wil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rapperswil-Jona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rapperswil-Jona scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Wil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Rapperswil-Jona has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rapperswil-Jona VS Wil
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rapperswil-Jona

(Home)
18 Sept
Xamax
0 : 3
Rapperswil-Jona
11 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 0
Yverdon
04 Sept
Aarau
3 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
01 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
1 : 1
Kriens
28 Aug
Etoile-Carouge
2 : 1
Rapperswil-Jona
Page 1 of 6

Wil

(Away)
01 Oct
Altach
5 : 0
Wil
18 Sept
Wil
5 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1
Wil
31 Aug
Wil
2 : 2
Aarau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 9 6 3 0 17:3 21
2 Winterthur 9 5 3 1 19:8 18
3 Yverdon 9 4 4 1 14:9 16
4 Kriens 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
5 Aarau 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
6 Xamax 9 4 0 5 12:17 12
7 Rapperswil-Jona 9 3 1 5 15:16 10
8 Etoile-Carouge 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
9 Wil 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
10 Stade Nyonnais 9 0 2 7 6:23 2
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)