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Rapperswil-Jona vs Wil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Grünfeld, Rapperswil-Jona
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bakayoko A.
5' Event
Rupp N.
13' Event
Schmid Y.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League game between Rapperswil-Jona and Wil finished 4-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Rapperswil-Jona
30%
Draws
29%
Wil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rapperswil-Jona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Rapperswil-Jona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Rapperswil-Jona taking it.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Rapperswil-Jona Clean Sheet 20%
Wil Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rapperswil-Jona Wil
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Wil
4:5
Apr 11, 2026 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Wil
2:0
Feb 13, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Rapperswil-Jona
0:2
Nov 7, 2025 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Wil
1:2
Aug 26, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Rapperswil-Jona
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rapperswil-Jona Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakayoko A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pousa R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Wil Compare

Top Goalscorer Rupp N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keita B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rapperswil-Jona 67 / 100
Wil 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rapperswil-Jona Wil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rapperswil-Jona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rapperswil-Jona scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Wil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Rapperswil-Jona has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rapperswil-Jona VS Wil
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rapperswil-Jona

(Home)
09 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3
Lausanne Ouchy
18 Sept
Xamax
0 : 3
Rapperswil-Jona
11 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 0
Yverdon
04 Sept
Aarau
3 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
01 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
1 : 1
Kriens
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Wil

(Away)
09 Oct
Kriens
1 : 1
Wil
01 Oct
Altach
5 : 0
Wil
18 Sept
Wil
5 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1
Wil
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 10 7 3 0 20:3 24
2 Yverdon 10 5 4 1 16:9 19
3 Winterthur 10 5 3 2 19:11 18
4 Kriens 10 4 3 3 17:12 15
5 Xamax 10 5 0 5 15:17 15
6 Aarau 10 3 3 4 15:18 12
7 Rapperswil-Jona 10 3 1 6 15:19 10
8 Wil 10 2 4 4 16:22 10
9 Etoile-Carouge 10 2 3 5 8:14 9
10 Stade Nyonnais 10 1 2 7 8:24 5
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)