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Rapperswil-Jona W vs Aarau W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
McFarland L.
9' Event
McFarland L.
20' Event
Parapunova Z.

AI Match Summary

The Super League Women game between Rapperswil-Jona W and Aarau W finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rapperswil-Jona W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Rapperswil-Jona W
20%
Draws
16%
Aarau W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rapperswil-Jona W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rapperswil-Jona W come out ahead of Aarau W on wins alone.
  • Rapperswil-Jona W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Rapperswil-Jona W Clean Sheet 20%
Aarau W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rapperswil-Jona W Aarau W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 5 2
Draws 12 6
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.18 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Super League Women
Rapperswil-Jona W vs Aarau W
5:2
Mar 18, 2026 Super League Women
Rapperswil-Jona W vs Aarau W
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Super League Women
Aarau W vs Rapperswil-Jona W
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 Super League Women
Aarau W vs Rapperswil-Jona W
3:1
Sep 21, 2024 Super League Women
Rapperswil-Jona W vs Aarau W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rapperswil-Jona W Compare

Top Goalscorer McFarland L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Parapunova Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Aarau W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoti V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rapperswil-Jona W 76 / 100
Aarau W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rapperswil-Jona W Aarau W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rapperswil-Jona W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarau W let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Rapperswil-Jona W scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Aarau W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rapperswil-Jona W VS Aarau W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rapperswil-Jona W

(Home)
03 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona W
5 : 2
Aarau W
19 Sept
Basel W
2 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona W
12 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona W
1 : 2
Servette W
09 Sept
Luzern W
2 : 0
Rapperswil-Jona W
05 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona W
2 : 4
Zurich W
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Aarau W

(Away)
03 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona W
5 : 2
Aarau W
19 Sept
Aarau W
1 : 2
Young Boys W
13 Sept
Yverdon W
4 : 1
Aarau W
09 Sept
St. Gallen W
2 : 2
Aarau W
05 Sept
Aarau W
0 : 1
Luzern W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Servette W 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
2 Grasshopper W 8 5 2 1 23:8 17
3 Zurich W 8 4 3 1 21:10 15
4 Young Boys W 8 4 3 1 14:10 15
5 Basel W 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
6 Luzern W 8 3 2 3 13:11 11
7 Yverdon W 8 2 2 4 14:16 8
8 Rapperswil-Jona W 8 2 2 4 15:20 8
9 St. Gallen W 8 1 1 6 7:21 4
10 Aarau W 8 0 1 7 7:30 1
Promotion - Super League Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Super League Women (Relegation)