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Rasisalai United vs Ayutthaya United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Sisaket Provincial Stadium, Nong Khrok
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rasisalai United host Ayutthaya United in the Thai League 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Rasisalai United have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Ayutthaya United's 1.04 scored and 1.43 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.56, favoring Rasisalai United. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Rasisalai United
20%
Draws
70%
Ayutthaya United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ayutthaya United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Rasisalai United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ayutthaya United a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Rasisalai United Clean Sheet 15%
Ayutthaya United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rasisalai United Ayutthaya United
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 3
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.57 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rasisalai United 27 / 100
Ayutthaya United 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rasisalai United Ayutthaya United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayutthaya United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rasisalai United scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Ayutthaya United conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Rasisalai United has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ayutthaya United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rasisalai United VS Ayutthaya United
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rasisalai United

(Home)
17 Oct
Sukhothai
5 : 1
Rasisalai United
10 Oct
Uthai Thani
4 : 2
Rasisalai United
19 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2
Rasisalai United
05 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 2
Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 6

Ayutthaya United

(Away)
16 Oct
Ayutthaya United
0 : 2
Lamphun Warrior
10 Oct
Pathum United
1 : 1
Ayutthaya United
18 Sept
Ayutthaya United
1 : 2
Uthai Thani
12 Sept
Sisaket United
0 : 1
Ayutthaya United
06 Sept
Ayutthaya United
2 : 1
Ratchaburi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prachuap 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
2 Uthai Thani 5 3 1 1 12:7 10
3 Buriram United F.C. 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
4 Bangkok Utd 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
5 Port MTI FC 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
6 Rayong FC 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
7 Ratchaburi 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
8 Ayutthaya United 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
9 Sisaket United 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
10 Sukhothai 5 2 0 3 8:12 6
11 Pathum United 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
12 Chiangrai Utd 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
13 Pattani 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
14 Lamphun Warrior 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
15 Rasisalai United 5 0 1 4 7:15 1
16 Chonburi 5 0 0 5 4:9 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)