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Ratchaburi vs Bangkok Utd

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Dragon Solar Park, Ratchaburi
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Bruno Mendes
40'
Mesa R.
50'
Everton

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 game between Ratchaburi and Bangkok Utd finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ratchaburi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ratchaburi
20%
Draws
47%
Bangkok Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bangkok Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ratchaburi come out ahead of Bangkok Utd on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ratchaburi's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ratchaburi Clean Sheet 20%
Bangkok Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ratchaburi Bangkok Utd
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Bangkok Utd
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Ratchaburi
1:4
Sep 28, 2025 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Bangkok Utd
0:1
Apr 2, 2025 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Bangkok Utd
1:2
Sep 27, 2024 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Ratchaburi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ratchaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Mendes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Bangkok Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ratchaburi 67 / 100
Bangkok Utd 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ratchaburi Bangkok Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ratchaburi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ratchaburi scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Bangkok Utd has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ratchaburi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ratchaburi VS Bangkok Utd
3.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ratchaburi

(Home)
20 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Ratchaburi
15 Sept
Ratchaburi
4 : 6
Shanghai Port
11 Sept
Ratchaburi
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
06 Sept
Ayutthaya United
2 : 1
Ratchaburi
29 Aug
Ratchaburi
5 : 0
Bangkok FC
Page 1 of 7

Bangkok Utd

(Away)
20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2
Pathum United
11 Sept
Ratchaburi
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
05 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 1
Sisaket United
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1
Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Rayong FC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Uthai Thani 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
4 Prachuap 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
5 Bangkok Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Port MTI FC 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
7 Ayutthaya United 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
8 Pathum United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
9 Ratchaburi 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Chiangrai Utd 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Pattani 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
12 Sukhothai 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
13 Sisaket United 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 Rasisalai United 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
15 Lamphun Warrior 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Chonburi 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)