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Ratchaburi vs Chonburi

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Dragon Solar Park, Ratchaburi
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ratchaburi host Chonburi in the Thai League 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Ratchaburi at 2.06 goals for, 1.29 against; Chonburi at 1.6 for, 1.43 against. Head-to-head, Ratchaburi have won 4 to Chonburi's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 11, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (2.50 xG vs 1.00) point toward Ratchaburi. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ratchaburi
20%
Draws
29%
Chonburi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ratchaburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ratchaburi have won more games recently than Chonburi.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Ratchaburi taking it.
  • Regular Thai League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ratchaburi have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ratchaburi Clean Sheet 20%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ratchaburi Chonburi
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 19 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.06 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Chonburi
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Ratchaburi
0:1
Apr 7, 2024 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Ratchaburi
0:1
Nov 5, 2023 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Chonburi
1:2
Mar 19, 2023 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Ratchaburi
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ratchaburi 85 / 100
Chonburi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ratchaburi Chonburi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ratchaburi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ratchaburi scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Chonburi conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Ratchaburi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ratchaburi VS Chonburi
3.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ratchaburi

(Home)
20 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Ratchaburi
15 Sept
Ratchaburi
4 : 6
Shanghai Port
11 Sept
Ratchaburi
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
06 Sept
Ayutthaya United
2 : 1
Ratchaburi
29 Aug
Ratchaburi
5 : 0
Bangkok FC
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Chonburi

(Away)
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3
Rayong FC
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Chonburi
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Kanchanaburi
2 : 2
Chonburi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Rayong FC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Uthai Thani 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
4 Prachuap 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
5 Bangkok Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Port MTI FC 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
7 Ayutthaya United 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
8 Pathum United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
9 Ratchaburi 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Chiangrai Utd 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Pattani 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
12 Sukhothai 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
13 Sisaket United 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 Rasisalai United 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
15 Lamphun Warrior 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Chonburi 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)