Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ratchaburi vs Chonburi

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Dragon Solar Park, Ratchaburi
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Queven In: Sansanit K.
Out: Queven
26'
Sub
Pathomakkakul K. In: Wongmeema U.
Out: Pathomakkakul K.
45'
Kaewprom J.

AI Match Summary

Ratchaburi in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ratchaburi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Ratchaburi
20%
Draws
24%
Chonburi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ratchaburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Ratchaburi have won more games recently than Chonburi.
  • Win probability leans Ratchaburi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ratchaburi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ratchaburi Clean Sheet 16%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ratchaburi Chonburi
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.94 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Chonburi
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Ratchaburi
0:1
Apr 7, 2024 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Ratchaburi
0:1
Nov 5, 2023 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Chonburi
1:2
Mar 19, 2023 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Ratchaburi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ratchaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Wonggorn J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Chonburi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ratchaburi 84 / 100
Chonburi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ratchaburi Chonburi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ratchaburi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ratchaburi's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Chonburi let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Ratchaburi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ratchaburi VS Chonburi
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ratchaburi

(Home)
05 Aug
Ratchaburi
6 : 2
Eastern AA
10 May
Kanchanaburi
0 : 1
Ratchaburi
03 May
Ratchaburi
6 : 1
Rayong FC
29 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Ratchaburi
24 Apr
Sukhothai
1 : 2
Ratchaburi
Page 1 of 7

Chonburi

(Away)
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Kanchanaburi
2 : 2
Chonburi
26 Apr
Chonburi
0 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
18 Apr
Prachuap
2 : 0
Chonburi
08 Apr
Chonburi
3 : 4
Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)