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Ratchaburi vs Sukhothai

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Dragon Solar Park, Ratchaburi
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ratchaburi host Sukhothai in the Thai League 1. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Ratchaburi at 2.06 goals for, 1.29 against; Sukhothai at 0.9 for, 1.53 against. Head-to-head, Ratchaburi have won 2 to Sukhothai's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (2.13 - 1.06) back Ratchaburi to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ratchaburi
15%
Draws
39%
Sukhothai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ratchaburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ratchaburi have won more games recently than Sukhothai.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Ratchaburi taking it.
  • Regular Thai League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ratchaburi Clean Sheet 20%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ratchaburi Sukhothai
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.06 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Ratchaburi
1:2
Dec 5, 2025 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Sukhothai
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Ratchaburi
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Sukhothai
2:2
Mar 30, 2024 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Ratchaburi
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ratchaburi 85 / 100
Sukhothai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ratchaburi Sukhothai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ratchaburi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ratchaburi found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (34 games).

Sukhothai let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ratchaburi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ratchaburi VS Sukhothai
2.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ratchaburi

(Home)
20 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Ratchaburi
15 Sept
Ratchaburi
4 : 6
Shanghai Port
11 Sept
Ratchaburi
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
06 Sept
Ayutthaya United
2 : 1
Ratchaburi
29 Aug
Ratchaburi
5 : 0
Bangkok FC
Page 1 of 7

Sukhothai

(Away)
20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1
Port MTI FC
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0
Sukhothai
06 Sept
Sukhothai
1 : 3
Buriram United F.C.
10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0
Sukhothai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Rayong FC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Uthai Thani 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
4 Prachuap 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
5 Bangkok Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Port MTI FC 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
7 Ayutthaya United 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
8 Pathum United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
9 Ratchaburi 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Chiangrai Utd 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Pattani 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
12 Sukhothai 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
13 Sisaket United 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 Rasisalai United 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
15 Lamphun Warrior 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Chonburi 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)