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Rathfriland Rangers vs Lisburn Rangers

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rathfriland Rangers play Lisburn Rangers in the Irish Cup 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rathfriland Rangers averaged 2.47 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. Lisburn Rangers averaged 2.26 goals scored and 2.56 conceded. In past meetings, Rathfriland Rangers won 2, Lisburn Rangers won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 2, 2019 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.67 for Rathfriland Rangers and 1.98 for Lisburn Rangers. This points to a Rathfriland Rangers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Rathfriland Rangers
15%
Draws
35%
Lisburn Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rathfriland Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Rathfriland Rangers picked up more points recently compared to Lisburn Rangers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.67 vs 1.98 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Rathfriland Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Lisburn Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rathfriland Rangers Lisburn Rangers
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 16 13
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 2.47 2.26
Goals Conceded 2.23 2.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2019 Irish Cup
Rathfriland Rangers vs Lisburn Rangers
3:0
Oct 25, 2008 Irish Cup
Lisburn Rangers vs Rathfriland Rangers
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rathfriland Rangers 47 / 100
Lisburn Rangers 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rathfriland Rangers Lisburn Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rathfriland Rangers or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.4%
1.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rathfriland Rangers attacking → ← attacking Lisburn Rangers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rathfriland Rangers scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Lisburn Rangers let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Rathfriland Rangers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Lisburn Rangers lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 39
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.20
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.60