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Ratnam SC vs UP Country Lions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
York B.
17' Event
York B.
19' Event
Yahya A.

AI Match Summary

UP Country Lions in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored UP Country Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ratnam SC
15%
Draws
85%
UP Country Lions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UP Country Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UP Country Lions lately — more wins on the board than Ratnam SC.
  • Model gives UP Country Lions a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ratnam SC Clean Sheet 10%
UP Country Lions Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ratnam SC UP Country Lions
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 19
Draws 4 1
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.89 2.55
Goals Conceded 2.39 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Super League
Ratnam SC vs UP Country Lions
1:5
Apr 21, 2021 Super League
Ratnam SC vs UP Country Lions
1:1
Jan 31, 2019 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Ratnam SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ratnam SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Shareek M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

UP Country Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer York B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yahya A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ratnam SC 10 / 100
UP Country Lions 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ratnam SC UP Country Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UP Country Lions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UP Country Lions let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Ratnam SC scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Ratnam SC VS UP Country Lions
0.5 Goals Scored 4.13
4 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ratnam SC

(Home)
14 Sept
Ratnam SC
1 : 3
Blue Star
06 Sept
Ratnam SC
0 : 3
Red Star
01 Sept
New Young's SC
3 : 2
Ratnam SC
21 Aug
Defenders FC
4 : 1
Ratnam SC
16 Aug
Ratnam SC
1 : 5
UP Country Lions
Page 1 of 6

UP Country Lions

(Away)
11 Oct
Blue Star
3 : 5
UP Country Lions
13 Sept
Renown
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
08 Sept
Colombo
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
28 Aug
UP Country Lions
4 : 0
Blue Eagles
22 Aug
UP Country Lions
6 : 0
New Young's SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UP Country Lions 9 9 0 0 35:3 27
2 Sea Hawks 9 5 3 1 17:4 18
3 Colombo 9 4 4 1 14:5 16
4 Renown 9 4 3 2 21:8 15
5 Red Star 9 4 3 2 16:11 15
6 Blue Star 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
7 Blue Eagles 9 3 1 5 8:12 10
8 Defenders FC 9 2 1 6 11:17 7
9 New Young's SC 9 1 2 6 7:36 5
10 Ratnam SC 9 0 0 9 5:35 0
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)