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Raufoss vs Start - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

NM Cup NAMMO Stadion, Raufoss
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Fremstad N. In: Aanesland M.
Out: Fremstad N.
12' Event
Zekhnini R.
(Penalty)
15' Event
Ugland M.
Assist: Lorentzen H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-5. This leg finished 1-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Raufoss
15%
Draws
57%
Start
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Start

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Raufoss have won more games recently than Start.
  • Start are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Raufoss have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Start, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Raufoss Clean Sheet 10%
Start Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raufoss Start
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.36 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.46 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 NM Cup
Raufoss vs Start
1:5
Oct 4, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Start vs Raufoss
4:0
May 11, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Raufoss vs Start
0:0
Aug 26, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Start vs Raufoss
1:2
Jun 23, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Raufoss vs Start
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Raufoss Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Start Compare

Top Goalscorer Cornelius J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ugland M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raufoss 18 / 100
Start 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raufoss Start

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Start Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Start let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Raufoss found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Raufoss stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Raufoss VS Start
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Raufoss

(Home)
06 Oct
Raufoss
1 : 5
Start
20 Sept
Raufoss
0 : 2
Stromsgodset
16 Sept
Elverum
0 : 3
Raufoss
13 Sept
Raufoss
2 : 1
Odds BK
05 Sept
Kongsvinger
9 : 1
Raufoss
Page 1 of 6

Start

(Away)
06 Oct
Raufoss
1 : 5
Start
02 Oct
Start
2 : 1
Brann
20 Sept
Sandefjord
3 : 0
Start
16 Sept
Vindbjart
2 : 3
Start
13 Sept
Start
2 : 0
Brann
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Aurskog/Finstadbru 0
Lillestrom 3
Froya 0
Sotra 6
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Floro 2
Forde 4
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Brodd 1
Viking 3
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Rade 1
Follo 2
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
1/32-finals
Baerum 1
Lillestrom 5
Sotra 1
Sogndal 2
Trygg/Lade 0
Molde 5
Asker 1
Stromsgodset 4
Jerv 1
Egersund 2
Bjarg 1
Bryne 4
Brattvag 1
Kristiansund 2
Forde 3
Aalesund 4
Arendal 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Rana FK 2
Bodo/Glimt 6
Sandviken 2
Asane 3
Traeff 0
Hodd 3
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Stjordals Blink 0
Fredrikstad 1
Madla IL 0
Viking 3
Honefoss 0
KFUM Oslo 2
Elverum 0
Raufoss 3
Vindbjart 2
Start 3
Alta 1
Tromso 2
Djerv 1919 0
Haugesund 4
Notodden 2
Odds BK 3
Flint 0
Sandefjord 1
Pors 2
Stabaek 1
Eidsvold TF 2
Kongsvinger 3
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Strommen 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Lyn 3
Floya 1
Rosenborg 4
Kjelsas 0
Ham-Kam 2
Grorud 2
Moss 1
OS TF 1
Brann 2
Follo 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Skeid 1
Valerenga 4
1/16-finals
Lillestrom -
Sogndal -
Molde -
Stromsgodset -
Egersund -
Bryne -
Kristiansund -
Aalesund -
Sandnes Ulf -
Bodo/Glimt -
Asane -
Hodd -
Ranheim -
Fredrikstad -
Viking -
KFUM Oslo -
Raufoss 1
Start 5
Tromso -
Haugesund -
Odds BK -
Sandefjord -
Pors -
Kongsvinger -
Tromsdalen (TUIL) -
Lyn -
Rosenborg -
Ham-Kam -
Grorud -
Brann -
Sarpsborg 08 -
Valerenga -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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