Sport Picks

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Raufoss vs Stromsgodset

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen NAMMO Stadion, Raufoss
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Raufoss host Stromsgodset in the OBOS-ligaen. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Stromsgodset have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Raufoss have conceded 2.19 and scored 1.69. Past meetings favor Stromsgodset slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2026, ending 6:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 3.06) point toward Stromsgodset. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Raufoss
15%
Draws
58%
Stromsgodset
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stromsgodset

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stromsgodset come out ahead of Raufoss on wins alone.
  • Stromsgodset are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Stromsgodset have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Raufoss Clean Sheet 10%
Stromsgodset Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raufoss Stromsgodset
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 3 8
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.69 2.66
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Stromsgodset vs Raufoss
6:1
Feb 9, 2023 Club Friendly
Stromsgodset vs Raufoss
2:0
Mar 12, 2022 NM Cup
Raufoss vs Stromsgodset
1:2
Feb 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Stromsgodset vs Raufoss
3:1
Feb 8, 2022 Club Friendly
Raufoss vs Stromsgodset
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raufoss 10 / 100
Stromsgodset 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raufoss Stromsgodset

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stromsgodset Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Raufoss scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Stromsgodset's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Raufoss went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Raufoss VS Stromsgodset
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
3.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Raufoss

(Home)
16 Sept
Elverum
0 : 3
Raufoss
13 Sept
Raufoss
2 : 1
Odds BK
05 Sept
Kongsvinger
9 : 1
Raufoss
30 Aug
Raufoss
0 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
26 Aug
Strommen
3 : 1
Raufoss
Page 1 of 7

Stromsgodset

(Away)
13 Sept
Stromsgodset
4 : 1
Sandnes Ulf
08 Sept
Asker
1 : 4
Stromsgodset
05 Sept
Odds BK
1 : 1
Stromsgodset
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3
Stromsgodset
26 Aug
Stromsgodset
3 : 1
Hodd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 22 16 1 5 68:37 49
2 Kongsvinger 22 14 5 3 63:34 47
3 Stromsgodset 22 13 6 3 58:31 45
4 Stabaek 22 13 3 6 55:28 42
5 Hodd 22 10 4 8 37:40 34
6 Odds BK 22 9 6 7 42:35 33
7 Bryne 22 10 2 10 28:31 32
8 Egersund 22 8 5 9 35:39 29
9 Lyn 22 8 4 10 38:44 28
10 Ranheim 22 7 4 11 52:57 25
11 Strommen 22 7 4 11 33:48 25
12 Sandnes Ulf 22 7 3 12 31:40 24
13 Sogndal 22 6 5 11 37:51 23
14 Moss 22 6 4 12 36:51 22
15 Asane 22 5 5 12 34:48 19
16 Raufoss 22 6 1 15 26:59 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)