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Ravda vs Zagorets

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

Ravda in this Third League - South-East 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ravda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ravda
15%
Draws
64%
Zagorets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zagorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Ravda at 2.28 per game, Zagorets at 1.64.
  • Model gives Zagorets a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ravda Clean Sheet 17%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ravda Zagorets
Matches Played 29 39
Wins 17 17
Draws 2 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.28 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2010 Third League - South-East
Ravda vs Zagorets
4:0
Sep 20, 2009 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Ravda
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ravda 15 / 100
Zagorets 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ravda Zagorets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zagorets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ravda found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Zagorets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 39 matches.

Recent resilience: Ravda stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zagorets
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ravda

(Home)
27 Oct
Malesh
3 : 0
Ravda
16 Oct
Pomorie
4 : 1
Ravda
02 Oct
Ravda
1 : 2
Nesebar
25 Sept
Ludogorets
3 : 0
Ravda
18 Sept
Ravda
3 : 1
Spartak Plovdiv
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Zagorets

(Away)
12 Sept
Zagorets
4 : 3
Atletik Kuklen
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
29 Aug
Zagorets
2 : 0
Levski Karlovo
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3
Zagorets
15 Aug
Zagorets
1 : 4
Spartak Plovdiv
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