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Ravenna vs Spezia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Comunale Bruno Benelli, Ravenna
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Da Pozzo L.
30'
Donati G.
44'
Falbo L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B game between Ravenna and Spezia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spezia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ravenna
15%
Draws
53%
Spezia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spezia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ravenna come out ahead of Spezia on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Spezia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ravenna Clean Sheet 18%
Spezia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ravenna Spezia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.72
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Ravenna vs Spezia
0:1
Mar 27, 2011 Lega Pro C1/A
Ravenna vs Spezia
0:1
Nov 10, 2010 Lega Pro C1/A
Spezia vs Ravenna
4:1
Apr 5, 2008 Serie B
Spezia vs Ravenna
2:0
Nov 3, 2007 Serie B
Ravenna vs Spezia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ravenna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Spezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ravenna 36 / 100
Spezia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ravenna Spezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spezia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ravenna scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Spezia conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Ravenna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ravenna VS Spezia
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ravenna

(Home)
18 Oct
Ravenna
0 : 1
Spezia
11 Oct
Ravenna
3 : 1
Campobasso
04 Oct
Pianese
2 : 1
Ravenna
27 Sept
Ravenna
2 : 0
Gubbio
20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2
Ravenna
Page 1 of 6

Spezia

(Away)
18 Oct
Ravenna
0 : 1
Spezia
10 Oct
Spezia
2 : 0
Gubbio
04 Oct
Reggiana
0 : 1
Spezia
27 Sept
Pescara
1 : 2
Spezia
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1
Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 10 9 1 0 18:4 28
2 Ravenna 10 6 2 2 16:6 20
3 Grosseto 10 5 4 1 21:13 19
4 Reggiana 9 5 2 2 14:7 17
5 Guidonia 1937 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
6 Livorno 10 4 4 2 15:14 16
7 Perugia 10 5 1 4 14:15 16
8 Pescara 10 4 3 3 13:12 15
9 Sassari Torres 10 4 3 3 11:12 15
10 Latina 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
11 Vado 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
12 Atalanta U23 9 4 0 5 10:13 12
13 Campobasso 10 3 3 4 14:19 12
14 Forli FC 10 2 5 3 16:16 11
15 Ostiamare 10 2 3 5 9:12 9
16 Pianese 10 1 5 4 6:10 8
17 Pineto 9 1 5 3 6:11 8
18 Sambenedettese 10 1 4 5 14:17 7
19 Gubbio 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
20 Vis Pesaro 9 1 1 7 10:20 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)