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Ravshan Kulob vs Istiqlol Dushanbe Prediction & H2H Stats

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Ravshan Kulob and Istiqlol Dushanbe finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Istiqlol Dushanbe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ravshan Kulob
20%
Draws
51%
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Istiqlol Dushanbe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Istiqlol Dushanbe come out ahead of Ravshan Kulob on wins alone.
  • Istiqlol Dushanbe are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ravshan Kulob Clean Sheet 19%
Istiqlol Dushanbe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ravshan Kulob Istiqlol Dushanbe
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 11 22
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.29 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Ravshan Kulob vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Ravshan Kulob
0:0
Oct 28, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Ravshan Kulob
6:2
May 17, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Ravshan Kulob vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
1:0
Dec 11, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Ravshan Kulob
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ravshan Kulob 28 / 100
Istiqlol Dushanbe 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ravshan Kulob Istiqlol Dushanbe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Istiqlol Dushanbe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ravshan Kulob scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Ravshan Kulob remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Istiqlol Dushanbe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ravshan Kulob VS Istiqlol Dushanbe
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ravshan Kulob

(Home)
14 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0 : 3
Ravshan Kulob
08 Sept
Ravshan Kulob
2 : 3
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
27 Aug
Eskhata
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
15 Aug
Ravshan Kulob
0 : 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe
31 Jul
Barkchi Hisor
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
Page 1 of 7

Istiqlol Dushanbe

(Away)
15 Sept
Khujand
1 : 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
05 Sept
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 0
Khosilot Parkhar
30 Aug
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 4
Istiqlol Dushanbe
15 Aug
Ravshan Kulob
0 : 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe
02 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
1 : 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
5 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 15:11 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 17 4 3 10 15:32 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)