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Stadium Background

Raya vs Abu Qir Semad Prediction & H2H Stats

Egypt Egypt

Division 2 A 2025/2026 Haras El-Hodod Stadium, Alexandria
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Moataz M.
67' Event
Najeh M.
85' Event
Essam M.

AI Match Summary

Abu Qir Semad in this Division 2 A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Abu Qir Semad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Raya
15%
Draws
85%
Abu Qir Semad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Abu Qir Semad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Abu Qir Semad have won more games recently than Raya.
  • Abu Qir Semad are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Raya Clean Sheet 10%
Abu Qir Semad Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raya Abu Qir Semad
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.63 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.53 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Division 2 A
Abu Qir Semad vs Raya
4:0
Jan 3, 2026 Division 2 A
Raya vs Abu Qir Semad
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Division 2 A
Abu Qir Semad vs Raya
1:0
Oct 13, 2024 Division 2 A
Raya vs Abu Qir Semad
0:0
Jan 29, 2024 Division 2 A
Abu Qir Semad vs Raya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Raya Compare

Top Goalscorer Najeh M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Abu Qir Semad Compare

Top Goalscorer Moataz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Essam M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raya 18 / 100
Abu Qir Semad 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raya Abu Qir Semad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Abu Qir Semad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abu Qir Semad let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Abu Qir Semad has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Raya's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Raya VS Abu Qir Semad
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Raya

(Home)
14 May
Abu Qir Semad
4 : 0
Raya
07 May
Raya
1 : 4
Tanta
30 Apr
Asyut Petroleum
1 : 0
Raya
23 Apr
Raya
1 : 2
El Mansoura
17 Apr
Baladiyat El Mahalla
4 : 0
Raya
Page 1 of 6

Abu Qir Semad

(Away)
15 Sept
Al Ahly
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
08 Sept
Zamalek
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
02 Sept
Abu Qir Semad
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
27 Aug
Pyramids
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
21 Aug
Abu Qir Semad
1 : 0
National Bank Egypt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qanah 34 22 9 3 56:19 75
2 Asyut Petroleum 34 16 12 6 42:27 60
3 Abu Qir Semad 34 15 13 6 40:25 58
4 Masar 34 15 10 9 47:29 55
5 Proxy 34 13 16 5 41:31 55
6 La Viena 34 14 12 8 38:23 54
7 WE Sports Club 34 11 13 10 30:34 46
8 Al Sekka 34 12 10 12 28:33 46
9 El Mansoura 34 9 17 8 28:27 44
10 Maleyeit Kafr El Zayiat 34 11 11 12 31:29 44
11 Tersana 34 8 16 10 31:32 40
12 El Entag El Harby 34 10 10 14 38:47 40
13 El Daklyeh 34 10 10 14 31:43 40
14 Dayrout 34 8 14 12 22:33 38
15 Tanta 34 5 18 11 27:36 33
16 Baladiyat El Mahalla 34 7 11 16 34:38 32
17 Aswan 34 5 10 19 15:42 25
18 Raya 34 4 10 20 20:51 22
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